Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty

To deal with the stochastic nature of the traffic flow, a timing method for the isolated signalized intersection is proposed considering traffic uncertainty. First, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity(SARIMA-GARCH) model is used...

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Main Author: LING Mo;WU Zhen;GUO Jianhua
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editorial Department of Journal of Nantong University (Natural Science Edition) 2020-03-01
Series:Nantong Daxue xuebao. Ziran kexue ban
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Online Access:https://ngzk.cbpt.cnki.net/portal/journal/portal/client/paper/NGZK_41ace5e5-a695-4d87-90b3-fcc43be99f2f
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author LING Mo;WU Zhen;GUO Jianhua
author_facet LING Mo;WU Zhen;GUO Jianhua
author_sort LING Mo;WU Zhen;GUO Jianhua
collection DOAJ
description To deal with the stochastic nature of the traffic flow, a timing method for the isolated signalized intersection is proposed considering traffic uncertainty. First, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity(SARIMA-GARCH) model is used to quantify the traffic uncertainty at each intersection. Then, based on the quantified uncertainty characteristic, the timing parameters is computed for the isolated intersection referring to the Webster method, obtaining the signal timing plan considering traffic uncertainty.Finally, taking an intersection in Nanjing as the example and using the real world traffic data, 17 timing plans are computed for the different traffic uncertainty levels. The performances of these timing plans are computed in Paramics software, validating the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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issn 1673-2340
language English
publishDate 2020-03-01
publisher Editorial Department of Journal of Nantong University (Natural Science Edition)
record_format Article
series Nantong Daxue xuebao. Ziran kexue ban
spelling doaj-art-a58a883f27234dfab6e6f80c4f8fc3f02025-08-20T03:14:09ZengEditorial Department of Journal of Nantong University (Natural Science Edition)Nantong Daxue xuebao. Ziran kexue ban1673-23402020-03-011901334110.12194/j.ntu.20191008001Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic UncertaintyLING Mo;WU Zhen;GUO JianhuaTo deal with the stochastic nature of the traffic flow, a timing method for the isolated signalized intersection is proposed considering traffic uncertainty. First, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity(SARIMA-GARCH) model is used to quantify the traffic uncertainty at each intersection. Then, based on the quantified uncertainty characteristic, the timing parameters is computed for the isolated intersection referring to the Webster method, obtaining the signal timing plan considering traffic uncertainty.Finally, taking an intersection in Nanjing as the example and using the real world traffic data, 17 timing plans are computed for the different traffic uncertainty levels. The performances of these timing plans are computed in Paramics software, validating the effectiveness of the proposed method.https://ngzk.cbpt.cnki.net/portal/journal/portal/client/paper/NGZK_41ace5e5-a695-4d87-90b3-fcc43be99f2fsignal controluncertainty prediction of traffic flowtraffic simulationevaluation
spellingShingle LING Mo;WU Zhen;GUO Jianhua
Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty
Nantong Daxue xuebao. Ziran kexue ban
signal control
uncertainty prediction of traffic flow
traffic simulation
evaluation
title Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty
title_full Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty
title_fullStr Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty
title_short Timing Method for the Isoland Signalized Intersection Considering the Traffic Uncertainty
title_sort timing method for the isoland signalized intersection considering the traffic uncertainty
topic signal control
uncertainty prediction of traffic flow
traffic simulation
evaluation
url https://ngzk.cbpt.cnki.net/portal/journal/portal/client/paper/NGZK_41ace5e5-a695-4d87-90b3-fcc43be99f2f
work_keys_str_mv AT lingmowuzhenguojianhua timingmethodfortheisolandsignalizedintersectionconsideringthetrafficuncertainty