Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula

Abstract Extreme heat is worsening due to climate change, and, in combination with increasing urban growth, is an escalating public health concern. In the Arabian Peninsula, the wet‐bulb temperature is projected to surpass theoretical human tolerance limits during the 21st century. Yet, heat researc...

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Main Authors: Anais Teyton, Jennifer Bailey, Eqi Luo, Rahaf Ajaj, Colin Raymond, Cascade Tuholske, Tarik Benmarhnia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2025-07-01
Series:GeoHealth
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GH001277
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author Anais Teyton
Jennifer Bailey
Eqi Luo
Rahaf Ajaj
Colin Raymond
Cascade Tuholske
Tarik Benmarhnia
author_facet Anais Teyton
Jennifer Bailey
Eqi Luo
Rahaf Ajaj
Colin Raymond
Cascade Tuholske
Tarik Benmarhnia
author_sort Anais Teyton
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Extreme heat is worsening due to climate change, and, in combination with increasing urban growth, is an escalating public health concern. In the Arabian Peninsula, the wet‐bulb temperature is projected to surpass theoretical human tolerance limits during the 21st century. Yet, heat research in the region has generally not focused on health impacts, and it is unclear how epidemiologic literature has investigated this. We performed a scoping review to examine the existing literature that assessed the relationship between extreme heat and health outcomes in the Arabian Peninsula, collecting papers published from 2010 to 2024 from three databases. We identified and extracted detailed information from a limited number of studies (n = 12). The greatest number of studies were conducted in Kuwait (n = 8), with others in Saudi Arabia (n = 4), and Qatar, Oman, Yemen, and the United Arab Emirates (n = 1 each). Average temperature was the most used exposure (n = 9) assessed at the daily level (n = 10), using one or several meteorological stations (n = 9) from a single city (n = 8). The outcome was predominantly daily‐level (n = 10) mortality (n = 9) assessed at an ecological scale (n = 10) as opposed to the individual scale. While most studies included confounders (n = 10), their selection was not always consistent with best practices. Most papers did not assess effect modification (n = 8), and none investigated modification by land‐cover and land‐use change on the heat‐health relationship. We provide future research recommendations based on our findings. Additional studies are critical to better understand the heat‐health relationship in the Arabian Peninsula, which can aid intervention implementation.
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publisher American Geophysical Union (AGU)
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spelling doaj-art-a4cfd5aae73d436abbb256ae4c9b8cdd2025-08-20T02:44:56ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)GeoHealth2471-14032025-07-0197n/an/a10.1029/2024GH001277Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian PeninsulaAnais Teyton0Jennifer Bailey1Eqi Luo2Rahaf Ajaj3Colin Raymond4Cascade Tuholske5Tarik Benmarhnia6Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science University of California San Diego CA USAHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science University of California San Diego CA USADepartment of Earth Sciences Montana State University Bozeman MT USACollege of Health Science Abu Dhabi University Abu Dhabi United Arab EmiratesJoint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering University of California Los Angeles CA USADepartment of Earth Sciences Montana State University Bozeman MT USAScripps Institution of Oceanography University of California San Diego CA USAAbstract Extreme heat is worsening due to climate change, and, in combination with increasing urban growth, is an escalating public health concern. In the Arabian Peninsula, the wet‐bulb temperature is projected to surpass theoretical human tolerance limits during the 21st century. Yet, heat research in the region has generally not focused on health impacts, and it is unclear how epidemiologic literature has investigated this. We performed a scoping review to examine the existing literature that assessed the relationship between extreme heat and health outcomes in the Arabian Peninsula, collecting papers published from 2010 to 2024 from three databases. We identified and extracted detailed information from a limited number of studies (n = 12). The greatest number of studies were conducted in Kuwait (n = 8), with others in Saudi Arabia (n = 4), and Qatar, Oman, Yemen, and the United Arab Emirates (n = 1 each). Average temperature was the most used exposure (n = 9) assessed at the daily level (n = 10), using one or several meteorological stations (n = 9) from a single city (n = 8). The outcome was predominantly daily‐level (n = 10) mortality (n = 9) assessed at an ecological scale (n = 10) as opposed to the individual scale. While most studies included confounders (n = 10), their selection was not always consistent with best practices. Most papers did not assess effect modification (n = 8), and none investigated modification by land‐cover and land‐use change on the heat‐health relationship. We provide future research recommendations based on our findings. Additional studies are critical to better understand the heat‐health relationship in the Arabian Peninsula, which can aid intervention implementation.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GH001277Arabian peninsulamorbiditymortalityextreme heatland coverland use
spellingShingle Anais Teyton
Jennifer Bailey
Eqi Luo
Rahaf Ajaj
Colin Raymond
Cascade Tuholske
Tarik Benmarhnia
Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula
GeoHealth
Arabian peninsula
morbidity
mortality
extreme heat
land cover
land use
title Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula
title_full Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula
title_fullStr Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula
title_full_unstemmed Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula
title_short Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat‐Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula
title_sort overheated and understudied a scoping review of heat related health impacts in the arabian peninsula
topic Arabian peninsula
morbidity
mortality
extreme heat
land cover
land use
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GH001277
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