Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice

Travellers have to make some decisions for each trip, and one of them is the choice of departure time. Discrete choice models have been employed as an approach to departure time modelling by many researchers. In this method, preparing choice set is a primary challenge which involves the definition o...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shahriar Afandizadeh Zargari, Farshid Safari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7382569
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832556349816307712
author Shahriar Afandizadeh Zargari
Farshid Safari
author_facet Shahriar Afandizadeh Zargari
Farshid Safari
author_sort Shahriar Afandizadeh Zargari
collection DOAJ
description Travellers have to make some decisions for each trip, and one of them is the choice of departure time. Discrete choice models have been employed as an approach to departure time modelling by many researchers. In this method, preparing choice set is a primary challenge which involves the definition of some departure periods to be selected by the traveller. In this research, choice sets were formed by applying the clustering methods on departure times. Afterwards, we developed Multinomial Logit (MNL) models on different choice sets and compared the models. The data used throughout this research belonged to Mashhad City. Research results indicated that Ward’s hierarchical clustering method is improper for time discretization; furthermore, the K-means clustering method is more efficient than the expectation maximization and K-medoids methods in the time discretization for MNL modelling. The developed model (based on K-means clustering method) accurately predicts departure time for 58% of persons within the test group, which reflects the effectiveness of the resulting model compared to the 36% which is obtained without the model.
format Article
id doaj-art-a3cd31cdf9694d29a730d5c32928d82f
institution Kabale University
issn 0197-6729
2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-a3cd31cdf9694d29a730d5c32928d82f2025-02-03T05:45:45ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952020-01-01202010.1155/2020/73825697382569Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time ChoiceShahriar Afandizadeh Zargari0Farshid Safari1Department of Transportation Engineering and Planning, School of Civil Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran 16846-13114, IranDepartment of Transportation Engineering and Planning, School of Civil Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran 16846-13114, IranTravellers have to make some decisions for each trip, and one of them is the choice of departure time. Discrete choice models have been employed as an approach to departure time modelling by many researchers. In this method, preparing choice set is a primary challenge which involves the definition of some departure periods to be selected by the traveller. In this research, choice sets were formed by applying the clustering methods on departure times. Afterwards, we developed Multinomial Logit (MNL) models on different choice sets and compared the models. The data used throughout this research belonged to Mashhad City. Research results indicated that Ward’s hierarchical clustering method is improper for time discretization; furthermore, the K-means clustering method is more efficient than the expectation maximization and K-medoids methods in the time discretization for MNL modelling. The developed model (based on K-means clustering method) accurately predicts departure time for 58% of persons within the test group, which reflects the effectiveness of the resulting model compared to the 36% which is obtained without the model.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7382569
spellingShingle Shahriar Afandizadeh Zargari
Farshid Safari
Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice
title_full Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice
title_fullStr Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice
title_full_unstemmed Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice
title_short Using Clustering Methods in Multinomial Logit Model for Departure Time Choice
title_sort using clustering methods in multinomial logit model for departure time choice
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7382569
work_keys_str_mv AT shahriarafandizadehzargari usingclusteringmethodsinmultinomiallogitmodelfordeparturetimechoice
AT farshidsafari usingclusteringmethodsinmultinomiallogitmodelfordeparturetimechoice