Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease

Abstract Patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases-interstitial lung disease (SARD-ILD) exhibit diverse clinical courses, highlighting the importance of prognostic prediction for effective management. This study aimed to validate the gender-age-physiology (GAP) model in patients with SARD...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yun Jung Hwang, Ju Kwang Lee, Jang Ho Lee, Yura Ahn, Sang Min Lee, Seokchan Hong, Ho Cheol Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08484-3
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849766525262626816
author Yun Jung Hwang
Ju Kwang Lee
Jang Ho Lee
Yura Ahn
Sang Min Lee
Seokchan Hong
Ho Cheol Kim
author_facet Yun Jung Hwang
Ju Kwang Lee
Jang Ho Lee
Yura Ahn
Sang Min Lee
Seokchan Hong
Ho Cheol Kim
author_sort Yun Jung Hwang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases-interstitial lung disease (SARD-ILD) exhibit diverse clinical courses, highlighting the importance of prognostic prediction for effective management. This study aimed to validate the gender-age-physiology (GAP) model in patients with SARD-ILD and identify additional prognostic factors. Clinical data of patients diagnosed with SARD-ILD at a tertiary center in South Korea were retrospectively analyzed. Using variables from the GAP model, along with exercise capacity, chest computed tomography (CT) patterns, and clinical course factors such as progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF), multivariate and survival analyses were performed to evaluate prognostic factors for 3-year mortality. Among 142 patients with SARD-ILD, 27 died and one underwent lung transplantation over a median follow-up period of 32.8 months. In the multivariate analysis, higher GAP stages, the combination of radiologic usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) patterns and exertional hypoxia during the 6-min walk test (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.506, P = 0.049), and PPF (HR 3.481, P = 0.001) were independently associated with 3-year mortality. Additionally, among patients in advanced GAP groups (GAP stage II or III, n = 45), those with both exertional hypoxia and a UIP pattern had significantly worse prognosis (median survival: 18.0 vs. 31.2 months, P = 0.042). Additional prognostic factors beyond the GAP model were identified, including exercise capacity, CT imaging patterns, and clinical course. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating multiple prognostic indicators for improved stratification and management of patients with SARD-ILD.
format Article
id doaj-art-a2db87a02c9844c6942feb5281c5e673
institution DOAJ
issn 2045-2322
language English
publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-a2db87a02c9844c6942feb5281c5e6732025-08-20T03:04:33ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111010.1038/s41598-025-08484-3Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseaseYun Jung Hwang0Ju Kwang Lee1Jang Ho Lee2Yura Ahn3Sang Min Lee4Seokchan Hong5Ho Cheol Kim6Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineDepartment of Internal Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineDepartment of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineDepartment of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of MedicineAbstract Patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases-interstitial lung disease (SARD-ILD) exhibit diverse clinical courses, highlighting the importance of prognostic prediction for effective management. This study aimed to validate the gender-age-physiology (GAP) model in patients with SARD-ILD and identify additional prognostic factors. Clinical data of patients diagnosed with SARD-ILD at a tertiary center in South Korea were retrospectively analyzed. Using variables from the GAP model, along with exercise capacity, chest computed tomography (CT) patterns, and clinical course factors such as progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF), multivariate and survival analyses were performed to evaluate prognostic factors for 3-year mortality. Among 142 patients with SARD-ILD, 27 died and one underwent lung transplantation over a median follow-up period of 32.8 months. In the multivariate analysis, higher GAP stages, the combination of radiologic usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) patterns and exertional hypoxia during the 6-min walk test (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.506, P = 0.049), and PPF (HR 3.481, P = 0.001) were independently associated with 3-year mortality. Additionally, among patients in advanced GAP groups (GAP stage II or III, n = 45), those with both exertional hypoxia and a UIP pattern had significantly worse prognosis (median survival: 18.0 vs. 31.2 months, P = 0.042). Additional prognostic factors beyond the GAP model were identified, including exercise capacity, CT imaging patterns, and clinical course. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating multiple prognostic indicators for improved stratification and management of patients with SARD-ILD.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08484-3Interstitial lung diseaseCollagen vascular diseasesLung fibrosis
spellingShingle Yun Jung Hwang
Ju Kwang Lee
Jang Ho Lee
Yura Ahn
Sang Min Lee
Seokchan Hong
Ho Cheol Kim
Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
Scientific Reports
Interstitial lung disease
Collagen vascular diseases
Lung fibrosis
title Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
title_full Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
title_fullStr Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
title_full_unstemmed Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
title_short Validation of the gender, age, physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
title_sort validation of the gender age physiology model and other prognostic factors in interstitial lung disease patients with systemic autoimmune rheumatic disease
topic Interstitial lung disease
Collagen vascular diseases
Lung fibrosis
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08484-3
work_keys_str_mv AT yunjunghwang validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease
AT jukwanglee validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease
AT jangholee validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease
AT yuraahn validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease
AT sangminlee validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease
AT seokchanhong validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease
AT hocheolkim validationofthegenderagephysiologymodelandotherprognosticfactorsininterstitiallungdiseasepatientswithsystemicautoimmunerheumaticdisease