PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA

The paper presents the results of the study aimed at predicting velocities of modern vertical movements of the Earth’s crust, which used the approach developed by Professor G.I. Karataev. This approach is based on mathematical simulation of geological and geophysical phenomena and an axiomatic corre...

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Main Author: K. I. Markovich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Institute of the Earth's crust 2020-06-01
Series:Геодинамика и тектонофизика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/1038
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author K. I. Markovich
author_facet K. I. Markovich
author_sort K. I. Markovich
collection DOAJ
description The paper presents the results of the study aimed at predicting velocities of modern vertical movements of the Earth’s crust, which used the approach developed by Professor G.I. Karataev. This approach is based on mathematical simulation of geological and geophysical phenomena and an axiomatic correlation model for predicting various parameters of the crust from the data on gravitational anomalies. We pioneer in using this approach to study the territory of Belarus on the basis of geodetic, geological, geophysical and seismological data, as well as modern models showing gravitational fields and topography. This paper presents regression equations between the modern vertical movement velocities, gravitational and magnetic fields, crust thickness, and topography data. These equations give reasonably accurate data for constructing a map of forecasted modern vertical movement velocities for the territory of Belarus. Our map proves that the approach based on a correlation model and a complex of geodetic, geological, geophysical and seismological data for predicting the modern vertical movement velocities is very promising and capable of improving the reliability of forecast mapping. It should be noted that other maps of modern vertical crustal movement velocities for territories, including the geostructural elements of different ages and different types, were constructed using the method of simple linear interpolation, which is highly likely to cause prediction errors. In such case, prediction of modern vertical crustal movement velocities should be based on established patterns and correlations between the crustal movements, geophysical fields, and development history of geological structures and their elements.
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spelling doaj-art-a2c02a0fac304ea7a317e5b0169582342025-08-20T03:59:45ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Institute of the Earth's crustГеодинамика и тектонофизика2078-502X2020-06-0111236537710.5800/GT-2020-11-2-0480478PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATAK. I. Markovich0Polotsk state UniversityThe paper presents the results of the study aimed at predicting velocities of modern vertical movements of the Earth’s crust, which used the approach developed by Professor G.I. Karataev. This approach is based on mathematical simulation of geological and geophysical phenomena and an axiomatic correlation model for predicting various parameters of the crust from the data on gravitational anomalies. We pioneer in using this approach to study the territory of Belarus on the basis of geodetic, geological, geophysical and seismological data, as well as modern models showing gravitational fields and topography. This paper presents regression equations between the modern vertical movement velocities, gravitational and magnetic fields, crust thickness, and topography data. These equations give reasonably accurate data for constructing a map of forecasted modern vertical movement velocities for the territory of Belarus. Our map proves that the approach based on a correlation model and a complex of geodetic, geological, geophysical and seismological data for predicting the modern vertical movement velocities is very promising and capable of improving the reliability of forecast mapping. It should be noted that other maps of modern vertical crustal movement velocities for territories, including the geostructural elements of different ages and different types, were constructed using the method of simple linear interpolation, which is highly likely to cause prediction errors. In such case, prediction of modern vertical crustal movement velocities should be based on established patterns and correlations between the crustal movements, geophysical fields, and development history of geological structures and their elements.https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/1038modern vertical movements of the earth’s crustmathematical simulation / modelingcorrelation relationshipglobal model of the gravitational fields and topography of the earthmagnetic anomalycrust thicknesstectonic zoning
spellingShingle K. I. Markovich
PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA
Геодинамика и тектонофизика
modern vertical movements of the earth’s crust
mathematical simulation / modeling
correlation relationship
global model of the gravitational fields and topography of the earth
magnetic anomaly
crust thickness
tectonic zoning
title PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA
title_full PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA
title_fullStr PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA
title_full_unstemmed PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA
title_short PREDICTION OF VELOCITIES OF MODERN VERTICAL MOVEMENTS OF THE EARTH’S CRUST FROM GEODETIC, GEOPHYSICAL AND SEISMOLOGICAL DATA
title_sort prediction of velocities of modern vertical movements of the earth s crust from geodetic geophysical and seismological data
topic modern vertical movements of the earth’s crust
mathematical simulation / modeling
correlation relationship
global model of the gravitational fields and topography of the earth
magnetic anomaly
crust thickness
tectonic zoning
url https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/1038
work_keys_str_mv AT kimarkovich predictionofvelocitiesofmodernverticalmovementsoftheearthscrustfromgeodeticgeophysicalandseismologicaldata