Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia

Many regions in Australia have experienced substantial damage to their natural, social, and environmental infrastructure from natural hazards. The scale and impact of these events have increased in recent decades due to the growing exposure and vulnerability of larger populations, economic activitie...

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Main Authors: Paul J. Box, Stefanos Xenarios, Russell M. Wise, Peter Heinmiller, Chandrama Sarker, Petina L. Pert, Seona Meharg, Gemma Edwards, Russell Gorddard, Sofia Azevedo, Dianne Flett, Nic Mesic, Maryam Ahmad, John Marinopoulos, Greg Parish, Jacqui Montgomery
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1504043/full
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author Paul J. Box
Stefanos Xenarios
Stefanos Xenarios
Russell M. Wise
Russell M. Wise
Peter Heinmiller
Chandrama Sarker
Petina L. Pert
Seona Meharg
Gemma Edwards
Russell Gorddard
Sofia Azevedo
Dianne Flett
Nic Mesic
Maryam Ahmad
John Marinopoulos
Greg Parish
Jacqui Montgomery
author_facet Paul J. Box
Stefanos Xenarios
Stefanos Xenarios
Russell M. Wise
Russell M. Wise
Peter Heinmiller
Chandrama Sarker
Petina L. Pert
Seona Meharg
Gemma Edwards
Russell Gorddard
Sofia Azevedo
Dianne Flett
Nic Mesic
Maryam Ahmad
John Marinopoulos
Greg Parish
Jacqui Montgomery
author_sort Paul J. Box
collection DOAJ
description Many regions in Australia have experienced substantial damage to their natural, social, and environmental infrastructure from natural hazards. The scale and impact of these events have increased in recent decades due to the growing exposure and vulnerability of larger populations, economic activities, and infrastructure (both built and natural), as well as the intensification of natural hazards induced by climate change. Despite the increasing challenges, there is still limited investment in building resilience. Moreover, many local governments throughout Australia lack the necessary technical capabilities, knowledge, and funding to ensure the reliable ongoing delivery of essential services to communities, much less to identify, assess, and implement resilience interventions. The implementation becomes more challenging in the case of Nature-based Solutions for disaster resilience and climate adaptation where there are significant gaps in understanding and evidence of their effectiveness in the short and long term. This study proposes a discursive, place-based, and cross-scale approach to overcoming these challenges and enabling councils to develop resilient investment cases (RICs) as part of regional planning processes involving local governments, research institutions, and private sector stakeholders. The approach involves: collectively identifying values and vulnerabilities in a hazard-prone region in south-east Australia; prioritizing focal infrastructure asset types for investigation, in this case transport but relevant to all forms of critical infrastructure including nature; identifying suitable interventions for resilience planning under scenarios of change; and formulating RICs by assessing the effectiveness, costs, and benefits of bundles of resilience interventions under scenarios of change. We present the approach as applied in the Bega Valley Local Government Area which is highly exposed and vulnerable to impacts from natural hazards. Insights and lessons from the case study are applicable to a range of critical infrastructure types, including nature-based solutions (green and blue infrastructure), as well as other regions in Australia and abroad that require resilient investment planning.
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spelling doaj-art-a26ead9945e54cbfbd084d3d7b5f73842025-08-20T03:52:14ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2025-05-011310.3389/fenvs.2025.15040431504043Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast AustraliaPaul J. Box0Stefanos Xenarios1Stefanos Xenarios2Russell M. Wise3Russell M. Wise4Peter Heinmiller5Chandrama Sarker6Petina L. Pert7Seona Meharg8Gemma Edwards9Russell Gorddard10Sofia Azevedo11Dianne Flett12Nic Mesic13Maryam Ahmad14John Marinopoulos15Greg Parish16Jacqui Montgomery17Environment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Sydney, NSW, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaGraduate School of Public Policy (GSPP), Nazarbayev University, Astana, KazakhstanEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaCentre for Urban Transitions, Swinburne University, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaValue Advisory Partners (VAP), Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Townsville, QLD, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaBega Valley Shire Council, Bega Valley LGA, NSW, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaValue Advisory Partners (VAP), Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaDianne Flett and Associates, Armidale, NSW, AustraliaValue Advisory Partners (VAP), Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaValue Advisory Partners (VAP), Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaEnvironment Research Unit, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Canberra, ACT, AustraliaMany regions in Australia have experienced substantial damage to their natural, social, and environmental infrastructure from natural hazards. The scale and impact of these events have increased in recent decades due to the growing exposure and vulnerability of larger populations, economic activities, and infrastructure (both built and natural), as well as the intensification of natural hazards induced by climate change. Despite the increasing challenges, there is still limited investment in building resilience. Moreover, many local governments throughout Australia lack the necessary technical capabilities, knowledge, and funding to ensure the reliable ongoing delivery of essential services to communities, much less to identify, assess, and implement resilience interventions. The implementation becomes more challenging in the case of Nature-based Solutions for disaster resilience and climate adaptation where there are significant gaps in understanding and evidence of their effectiveness in the short and long term. This study proposes a discursive, place-based, and cross-scale approach to overcoming these challenges and enabling councils to develop resilient investment cases (RICs) as part of regional planning processes involving local governments, research institutions, and private sector stakeholders. The approach involves: collectively identifying values and vulnerabilities in a hazard-prone region in south-east Australia; prioritizing focal infrastructure asset types for investigation, in this case transport but relevant to all forms of critical infrastructure including nature; identifying suitable interventions for resilience planning under scenarios of change; and formulating RICs by assessing the effectiveness, costs, and benefits of bundles of resilience interventions under scenarios of change. We present the approach as applied in the Bega Valley Local Government Area which is highly exposed and vulnerable to impacts from natural hazards. Insights and lessons from the case study are applicable to a range of critical infrastructure types, including nature-based solutions (green and blue infrastructure), as well as other regions in Australia and abroad that require resilient investment planning.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1504043/fullhazardsvulnerabilityservicesvalue creationcommunitiesAustralia
spellingShingle Paul J. Box
Stefanos Xenarios
Stefanos Xenarios
Russell M. Wise
Russell M. Wise
Peter Heinmiller
Chandrama Sarker
Petina L. Pert
Seona Meharg
Gemma Edwards
Russell Gorddard
Sofia Azevedo
Dianne Flett
Nic Mesic
Maryam Ahmad
John Marinopoulos
Greg Parish
Jacqui Montgomery
Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia
Frontiers in Environmental Science
hazards
vulnerability
services
value creation
communities
Australia
title Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia
title_full Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia
title_fullStr Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia
title_full_unstemmed Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia
title_short Resilience investments under climate change: a regional case study in Southeast Australia
title_sort resilience investments under climate change a regional case study in southeast australia
topic hazards
vulnerability
services
value creation
communities
Australia
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1504043/full
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