Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg
The author carried out the modeling of the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 outbreak in St. Petersburg, Russia. The dynamics of infection, recovery and mortality in the region was analyzed based on the monitoring data of the Coordination Council to control the incidence of the...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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Research Institute for Healthcare Organization and Medical Management of Moscow Healthcare Department
2023-03-01
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| Series: | Здоровье мегаполиса |
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| Online Access: | https://www.city-healthcare.com/jour/article/view/99 |
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| _version_ | 1849344668425256960 |
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| author | P. V. Gerasimenko |
| author_facet | P. V. Gerasimenko |
| author_sort | P. V. Gerasimenko |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The author carried out the modeling of the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 outbreak in St. Petersburg, Russia. The dynamics of infection, recovery and mortality in the region was analyzed based on the monitoring data of the Coordination Council to control the incidence of the novel coronavirus infection in St. Petersburg. The analysis showed that it was possible to quickly make a shortterm forecast for the pandemic spread based on the polynomial regression of integral indicators. Through forecasting, administrative and sanitary institutions have the possibility to make suitable management decisions on the creation of normal conditions for maintaining the public health. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a126125cebec43a4a4fb3e8055ebd46c |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2713-2617 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2023-03-01 |
| publisher | Research Institute for Healthcare Organization and Medical Management of Moscow Healthcare Department |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Здоровье мегаполиса |
| spelling | doaj-art-a126125cebec43a4a4fb3e8055ebd46c2025-08-20T03:42:37ZrusResearch Institute for Healthcare Organization and Medical Management of Moscow Healthcare DepartmentЗдоровье мегаполиса2713-26172023-03-0141838910.47619/2713-2617.zm.2023.v.4i1;83-8998Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. PetersburgP. V. Gerasimenko0Emperor Alexander I St. Petersburg State Transport UniversityThe author carried out the modeling of the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 outbreak in St. Petersburg, Russia. The dynamics of infection, recovery and mortality in the region was analyzed based on the monitoring data of the Coordination Council to control the incidence of the novel coronavirus infection in St. Petersburg. The analysis showed that it was possible to quickly make a shortterm forecast for the pandemic spread based on the polynomial regression of integral indicators. Through forecasting, administrative and sanitary institutions have the possibility to make suitable management decisions on the creation of normal conditions for maintaining the public health.https://www.city-healthcare.com/jour/article/view/99pandemiccovid-19regression modelkey integrated indicatorsforecast |
| spellingShingle | P. V. Gerasimenko Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg Здоровье мегаполиса pandemic covid-19 regression model key integrated indicators forecast |
| title | Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg |
| title_full | Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg |
| title_fullStr | Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg |
| title_short | Modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the COVID-19 spread in St. Petersburg |
| title_sort | modeling the dynamics of key integrated indicators for the covid 19 spread in st petersburg |
| topic | pandemic covid-19 regression model key integrated indicators forecast |
| url | https://www.city-healthcare.com/jour/article/view/99 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT pvgerasimenko modelingthedynamicsofkeyintegratedindicatorsforthecovid19spreadinstpetersburg |