Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study

Abstract Objective Our study investigated the associations between bone turnover markers (BTMs) and bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture risk over the next 10 years. The objective of the study was to evaluate the potential effects of BTMs in fracture risk. Methods Our cross-sectional study enroll...

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Main Authors: Xiaoli Qu, Qinyi Wang, Chuo Luo, Yongfang Li, Lin Tian, Lulu Xu, Zhifeng Sheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-05-01
Series:BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12891-025-08571-6
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author Xiaoli Qu
Qinyi Wang
Chuo Luo
Yongfang Li
Lin Tian
Lulu Xu
Zhifeng Sheng
author_facet Xiaoli Qu
Qinyi Wang
Chuo Luo
Yongfang Li
Lin Tian
Lulu Xu
Zhifeng Sheng
author_sort Xiaoli Qu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective Our study investigated the associations between bone turnover markers (BTMs) and bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture risk over the next 10 years. The objective of the study was to evaluate the potential effects of BTMs in fracture risk. Methods Our cross-sectional study enrolled 580 participants (380 postmenopausal women and 200 men over the age of 50). All participants completed a questionnaire and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry examination. We obtained BMD values for the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip joint and biochemical indicators such as creatinine, type 1 procollagen N-terminal propeptide (P1NP), and beta cross-linked C-telopeptide of type 1 collagen (β-CTX). Furthermore, we used an online fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) to calculate the probability of major osteoporotic fractures (PMOF) and hip fractures (PHF) over the next 10 years. We divided the participants into three groups based on the BMD T-score criteria: normal bone mass group (T-score ≥ − 1.0 SD), osteopenic group (− 2.5 SD < T-score < − 1.0 SD), and osteoporotic group (T-score ≤ − 2.5 SD). We compared differences in BTMs, BMD, and fracture risks among the three groups. Additionally, we evaluated differences in indicators between males and females and explored risk factors associated with BMD and fracture risk. Results Postmenopausal women showed higher bone turnover markers, osteoporosis prevalence, and fracture risks compared to men. In a multivariate stepwise regression analysis, we identified P1NP was positively correlated with fracture risk for both PMOF (β = 0.087, p = 0.005) and PHF (β = 0.135, p < 0.001) over the next 10 years. In the logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for sex, we found that for every standard deviation increase in P1NP, the future 10-year risk of fractures increased by approximately 5.2-fold in the high PMOF group and 5.6-fold in the high PHF group. Conclusion Our study demonstrated that elevated serum P1NP levels were associated with increased fracture risk over a 10-year period. These findings suggested that serum P1NP measurement could be a valuable complementary tool alongside BMD measurements and FRAX assessments for identifying individuals at high risk of fracture.
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spelling doaj-art-a121a134aa0f46b59475f2d1cf9de3f22025-08-20T02:32:05ZengBMCBMC Musculoskeletal Disorders1471-24742025-05-012611910.1186/s12891-025-08571-6Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional studyXiaoli Qu0Qinyi Wang1Chuo Luo2Yongfang Li3Lin Tian4Lulu Xu5Zhifeng Sheng6Health Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityHealth Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityHealth Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityHealth Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityHealth Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityHealth Management Center, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityHealth Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South UniversityAbstract Objective Our study investigated the associations between bone turnover markers (BTMs) and bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture risk over the next 10 years. The objective of the study was to evaluate the potential effects of BTMs in fracture risk. Methods Our cross-sectional study enrolled 580 participants (380 postmenopausal women and 200 men over the age of 50). All participants completed a questionnaire and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry examination. We obtained BMD values for the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip joint and biochemical indicators such as creatinine, type 1 procollagen N-terminal propeptide (P1NP), and beta cross-linked C-telopeptide of type 1 collagen (β-CTX). Furthermore, we used an online fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) to calculate the probability of major osteoporotic fractures (PMOF) and hip fractures (PHF) over the next 10 years. We divided the participants into three groups based on the BMD T-score criteria: normal bone mass group (T-score ≥ − 1.0 SD), osteopenic group (− 2.5 SD < T-score < − 1.0 SD), and osteoporotic group (T-score ≤ − 2.5 SD). We compared differences in BTMs, BMD, and fracture risks among the three groups. Additionally, we evaluated differences in indicators between males and females and explored risk factors associated with BMD and fracture risk. Results Postmenopausal women showed higher bone turnover markers, osteoporosis prevalence, and fracture risks compared to men. In a multivariate stepwise regression analysis, we identified P1NP was positively correlated with fracture risk for both PMOF (β = 0.087, p = 0.005) and PHF (β = 0.135, p < 0.001) over the next 10 years. In the logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for sex, we found that for every standard deviation increase in P1NP, the future 10-year risk of fractures increased by approximately 5.2-fold in the high PMOF group and 5.6-fold in the high PHF group. Conclusion Our study demonstrated that elevated serum P1NP levels were associated with increased fracture risk over a 10-year period. These findings suggested that serum P1NP measurement could be a valuable complementary tool alongside BMD measurements and FRAX assessments for identifying individuals at high risk of fracture.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12891-025-08571-6Bone turnover markersBone mineral densityFracture riskFRAX
spellingShingle Xiaoli Qu
Qinyi Wang
Chuo Luo
Yongfang Li
Lin Tian
Lulu Xu
Zhifeng Sheng
Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study
BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders
Bone turnover markers
Bone mineral density
Fracture risk
FRAX
title Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study
title_full Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study
title_fullStr Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study
title_full_unstemmed Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study
title_short Association between bone turnover markers and FRAX predicted fracture risk in Chinese adults: a cross-sectional study
title_sort association between bone turnover markers and frax predicted fracture risk in chinese adults a cross sectional study
topic Bone turnover markers
Bone mineral density
Fracture risk
FRAX
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12891-025-08571-6
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