An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models

Abstract Assimilating satellite-based Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) observations can improve the vertical summation of water storage states in hydrological models. However, it can degrade individual storage compartments or hydrological fluxes, limiting the applicability of TWS Data Assimilation (D...

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Main Authors: Leire Retegui-Schiettekatte, Maike Schumacher, Fan Yang, Henrik Madsen, Ehsan Forootan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-08-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-13602-2
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author Leire Retegui-Schiettekatte
Maike Schumacher
Fan Yang
Henrik Madsen
Ehsan Forootan
author_facet Leire Retegui-Schiettekatte
Maike Schumacher
Fan Yang
Henrik Madsen
Ehsan Forootan
author_sort Leire Retegui-Schiettekatte
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Assimilating satellite-based Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) observations can improve the vertical summation of water storage states in hydrological models. However, it can degrade individual storage compartments or hydrological fluxes, limiting the applicability of TWS Data Assimilation (DA) for water management and flood monitoring. This issue arises from the ensemble-based TWS update disaggregation approach used by DA techniques like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). Thus, this study makes two key contributions. First, we introduce a novel analysis method that provides quantitative and qualitative insights into how individual storage compartments are affected during TWS DA, by examining the sign and magnitude of the individual storage updates and their responses. Second, we propose a new disaggregation approach, EnKF-R, which “rescales” the individual storage of model compartments to match the updated TWS, avoiding the use of ensemble statistics within the disaggregation process. The EnKF-R approach was tested in two climatologically different river basins and validated against both synthetic and real independent data. Our results show that EnKF-R produces similar TWS estimates to the classical EnKF while reducing degradations in individual water storage compartments and with lower computational cost, making it a promising alternative. Limitations regarding spatial continuity and uncertainty estimation require further developments.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-08-01
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spelling doaj-art-a01692ad71cf4632b4dbb27f07c4a7282025-08-20T03:43:02ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-08-0115111510.1038/s41598-025-13602-2An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological modelsLeire Retegui-Schiettekatte0Maike Schumacher1Fan Yang2Henrik Madsen3Ehsan Forootan4Geodesy Group, Department of Sustainability and Planning, Aalborg UniversityGeodesy Group, Department of Sustainability and Planning, Aalborg UniversityGeodesy Group, Department of Sustainability and Planning, Aalborg UniversityDHI A/SGeodesy Group, Department of Sustainability and Planning, Aalborg UniversityAbstract Assimilating satellite-based Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) observations can improve the vertical summation of water storage states in hydrological models. However, it can degrade individual storage compartments or hydrological fluxes, limiting the applicability of TWS Data Assimilation (DA) for water management and flood monitoring. This issue arises from the ensemble-based TWS update disaggregation approach used by DA techniques like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). Thus, this study makes two key contributions. First, we introduce a novel analysis method that provides quantitative and qualitative insights into how individual storage compartments are affected during TWS DA, by examining the sign and magnitude of the individual storage updates and their responses. Second, we propose a new disaggregation approach, EnKF-R, which “rescales” the individual storage of model compartments to match the updated TWS, avoiding the use of ensemble statistics within the disaggregation process. The EnKF-R approach was tested in two climatologically different river basins and validated against both synthetic and real independent data. Our results show that EnKF-R produces similar TWS estimates to the classical EnKF while reducing degradations in individual water storage compartments and with lower computational cost, making it a promising alternative. Limitations regarding spatial continuity and uncertainty estimation require further developments.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-13602-2
spellingShingle Leire Retegui-Schiettekatte
Maike Schumacher
Fan Yang
Henrik Madsen
Ehsan Forootan
An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
Scientific Reports
title An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
title_full An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
title_fullStr An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
title_full_unstemmed An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
title_short An ensemble Kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
title_sort ensemble kalman filter with rescaling disaggregation for assimilating terrestrial water storage into hydrological models
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-13602-2
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