Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty

With the continuous expansion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) integration, the hosting capacity of distribution networks has become a critical issue in power system planning and operation. Under varying meteorological and load fluctuation conditions, traditional assessment methods often face adapta...

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Main Authors: Chao Chen, Weifeng Peng, Cheng Xie, Shufeng Dong, Yibo Hua
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/8/2134
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author Chao Chen
Weifeng Peng
Cheng Xie
Shufeng Dong
Yibo Hua
author_facet Chao Chen
Weifeng Peng
Cheng Xie
Shufeng Dong
Yibo Hua
author_sort Chao Chen
collection DOAJ
description With the continuous expansion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) integration, the hosting capacity of distribution networks has become a critical issue in power system planning and operation. Under varying meteorological and load fluctuation conditions, traditional assessment methods often face adaptability and uncertainty handling challenges. To enhance the practical applicability and accuracy of hosting capacity evaluations, this paper proposes a PV hosting capacity assessment model that incorporates source–load uncertainty and constructs an alternative scenario optimization evaluation framework driven by target-oriented scenario generation. The model considers system constraints and employs the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) to optimize the maximum PV hosting capacity. On the source side, PV output scenarios with temporal characteristics are generated based on the mapping relationship between meteorological factors and PV power. On the load side, historical data are employed to extract fluctuation ranges and to introduce random perturbations to simulate load uncertainty. In addition, a PV power scenario generation method based on the Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) is proposed, integrating physical-data dual-driven strategies to enhance the physical consistency of generated data, while incorporating a target-driven weighted sampling mechanism to improve its learning ability for key features. Case studies verify that the proposed method demonstrates strong adaptability and accuracy under varying meteorological and load conditions.
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spelling doaj-art-9fabd004c1dd440da7e30c80a49004622025-08-20T03:13:47ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732025-04-01188213410.3390/en18082134Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load UncertaintyChao Chen0Weifeng Peng1Cheng Xie2Shufeng Dong3Yibo Hua4State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co., Ltd. Electric Power Science Research Institute, Hangzhou 310014, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, ChinaState Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co., Ltd. Electric Power Science Research Institute, Hangzhou 310014, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, ChinaState Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co., Ltd. Electric Power Science Research Institute, Hangzhou 310014, ChinaWith the continuous expansion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) integration, the hosting capacity of distribution networks has become a critical issue in power system planning and operation. Under varying meteorological and load fluctuation conditions, traditional assessment methods often face adaptability and uncertainty handling challenges. To enhance the practical applicability and accuracy of hosting capacity evaluations, this paper proposes a PV hosting capacity assessment model that incorporates source–load uncertainty and constructs an alternative scenario optimization evaluation framework driven by target-oriented scenario generation. The model considers system constraints and employs the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) to optimize the maximum PV hosting capacity. On the source side, PV output scenarios with temporal characteristics are generated based on the mapping relationship between meteorological factors and PV power. On the load side, historical data are employed to extract fluctuation ranges and to introduce random perturbations to simulate load uncertainty. In addition, a PV power scenario generation method based on the Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) is proposed, integrating physical-data dual-driven strategies to enhance the physical consistency of generated data, while incorporating a target-driven weighted sampling mechanism to improve its learning ability for key features. Case studies verify that the proposed method demonstrates strong adaptability and accuracy under varying meteorological and load conditions.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/8/2134hosting capacity assessmentscenario generationsparrow search algorithmsource–load uncertaintyWGAN-GP
spellingShingle Chao Chen
Weifeng Peng
Cheng Xie
Shufeng Dong
Yibo Hua
Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty
Energies
hosting capacity assessment
scenario generation
sparrow search algorithm
source–load uncertainty
WGAN-GP
title Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty
title_full Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty
title_fullStr Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty
title_short Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity Assessment of Distribution Networks Considering Source–Load Uncertainty
title_sort photovoltaic hosting capacity assessment of distribution networks considering source load uncertainty
topic hosting capacity assessment
scenario generation
sparrow search algorithm
source–load uncertainty
WGAN-GP
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/8/2134
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AT chengxie photovoltaichostingcapacityassessmentofdistributionnetworksconsideringsourceloaduncertainty
AT shufengdong photovoltaichostingcapacityassessmentofdistributionnetworksconsideringsourceloaduncertainty
AT yibohua photovoltaichostingcapacityassessmentofdistributionnetworksconsideringsourceloaduncertainty