Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships
Abstract Sustainability of carbon sink capacity is an essential player in the health of the city, and landscape ecological risk can reveal present status of land management. This paper analyzes the distribution of spatial conflict areas between high carbon stock and landscape ecological risk under t...
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Nature Portfolio
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Scientific Reports |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-03148-8 |
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| author | Jin Peng Wang Li Wang Peng Du |
| author_facet | Jin Peng Wang Li Wang Peng Du |
| author_sort | Jin Peng Wang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Sustainability of carbon sink capacity is an essential player in the health of the city, and landscape ecological risk can reveal present status of land management. This paper analyzes the distribution of spatial conflict areas between high carbon stock and landscape ecological risk under the current scenarios and future three different development scenarios in 2025 and 2027. The results showed that: (1) from 2019 to 2023, the higher carbon stock areas and the ecological higher-risk areas generally expand; (2) from 2025 to 2027, under different development scenarios, higher carbon stock and higher-risk areas showed different changes, according to the distribution of spatial conflicts between the two, the significant common zones of conflict were distributed in the central, southern, and southeastern parts of the study area, while in the northern and eastern parts of the study area, the spatial conflict distribution of the natural development and cropland protection scenarios is significantly lower than the urban development scenarios, so future land use development patterns can be optimized by combining the respective characteristics of natural development and cropland protection scenarios. Therefore, this study can provide a basis for the future economic development of study area and the green and healthy development of Jinpu New Area. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-9f949bf59057481ea480a1be1a2c8b5a |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2045-2322 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
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| series | Scientific Reports |
| spelling | doaj-art-9f949bf59057481ea480a1be1a2c8b5a2025-08-20T04:01:25ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111310.1038/s41598-025-03148-8Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationshipsJin Peng Wang0Li Wang1Peng Du2Liaoning Normal UniversityLiaoning Normal UniversityLiaoning Normal UniversityAbstract Sustainability of carbon sink capacity is an essential player in the health of the city, and landscape ecological risk can reveal present status of land management. This paper analyzes the distribution of spatial conflict areas between high carbon stock and landscape ecological risk under the current scenarios and future three different development scenarios in 2025 and 2027. The results showed that: (1) from 2019 to 2023, the higher carbon stock areas and the ecological higher-risk areas generally expand; (2) from 2025 to 2027, under different development scenarios, higher carbon stock and higher-risk areas showed different changes, according to the distribution of spatial conflicts between the two, the significant common zones of conflict were distributed in the central, southern, and southeastern parts of the study area, while in the northern and eastern parts of the study area, the spatial conflict distribution of the natural development and cropland protection scenarios is significantly lower than the urban development scenarios, so future land use development patterns can be optimized by combining the respective characteristics of natural development and cropland protection scenarios. Therefore, this study can provide a basis for the future economic development of study area and the green and healthy development of Jinpu New Area.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-03148-8Carbon stocksLandscape ecological riskPLUS modelSpatial conflictINVEST modelLand use change |
| spellingShingle | Jin Peng Wang Li Wang Peng Du Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships Scientific Reports Carbon stocks Landscape ecological risk PLUS model Spatial conflict INVEST model Land use change |
| title | Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships |
| title_full | Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships |
| title_fullStr | Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships |
| title_full_unstemmed | Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships |
| title_short | Multi-scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in Jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships |
| title_sort | multi scenario simulation of carbon stock and landscape ecological risk changes in jinpu new area and analysis of spatial conflict relationships |
| topic | Carbon stocks Landscape ecological risk PLUS model Spatial conflict INVEST model Land use change |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-03148-8 |
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