A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems

The close relationship between collateral value and bank stability has led to a considerable need to a rapid and economical appraisal of real estate. The greater availability of information related to housing stock has prompted to the use of so-called big data and machine learning in the estimation...

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Main Authors: José-Luis Alfaro-Navarro, Emilio L. Cano, Esteban Alfaro-Cortés, Noelia García, Matías Gámez, Beatriz Larraz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5287263
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author José-Luis Alfaro-Navarro
Emilio L. Cano
Esteban Alfaro-Cortés
Noelia García
Matías Gámez
Beatriz Larraz
author_facet José-Luis Alfaro-Navarro
Emilio L. Cano
Esteban Alfaro-Cortés
Noelia García
Matías Gámez
Beatriz Larraz
author_sort José-Luis Alfaro-Navarro
collection DOAJ
description The close relationship between collateral value and bank stability has led to a considerable need to a rapid and economical appraisal of real estate. The greater availability of information related to housing stock has prompted to the use of so-called big data and machine learning in the estimation of property prices. Although this methodology has already been applied to the real estate market to identify which variables influence dwelling prices, its use for estimating the price of properties is not so frequent. The application of this methodology has become more sophisticated over time, from applying simple methods to using the so-called ensemble methods and, while the estimation capacity has improved, it has only been applied to specific geographical areas. The main contribution of this article lies in developing an application for the entire Spanish market that fully automatically provides the best model for each municipality. Real estate property prices in 433 municipalities are estimated from a sample of 790,631 dwellings, using different ensemble methods based on decision trees such as bagging, boosting, and random forest. The results for estimating the price of dwellings show a good performance of the techniques developed, in terms of the error measures, with the best results being achieved using the techniques of bagging and random forest.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
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record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-9f8757ebd646406b84923d349f8ce50b2025-02-03T00:20:44ZengWileyComplexity1099-05262020-01-01202010.1155/2020/52872635287263A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate SystemsJosé-Luis Alfaro-Navarro0Emilio L. Cano1Esteban Alfaro-Cortés2Noelia García3Matías Gámez4Beatriz Larraz5Turkish General StaffDepartment of Industrial EngineeringDepartment of Industrial EngineeringTurkish General StaffDepartment of Industrial EngineeringDepartment of Industrial EngineeringThe close relationship between collateral value and bank stability has led to a considerable need to a rapid and economical appraisal of real estate. The greater availability of information related to housing stock has prompted to the use of so-called big data and machine learning in the estimation of property prices. Although this methodology has already been applied to the real estate market to identify which variables influence dwelling prices, its use for estimating the price of properties is not so frequent. The application of this methodology has become more sophisticated over time, from applying simple methods to using the so-called ensemble methods and, while the estimation capacity has improved, it has only been applied to specific geographical areas. The main contribution of this article lies in developing an application for the entire Spanish market that fully automatically provides the best model for each municipality. Real estate property prices in 433 municipalities are estimated from a sample of 790,631 dwellings, using different ensemble methods based on decision trees such as bagging, boosting, and random forest. The results for estimating the price of dwellings show a good performance of the techniques developed, in terms of the error measures, with the best results being achieved using the techniques of bagging and random forest.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5287263
spellingShingle José-Luis Alfaro-Navarro
Emilio L. Cano
Esteban Alfaro-Cortés
Noelia García
Matías Gámez
Beatriz Larraz
A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems
Complexity
title A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems
title_full A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems
title_fullStr A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems
title_full_unstemmed A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems
title_short A Fully Automated Adjustment of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning for Modeling Complex Real Estate Systems
title_sort fully automated adjustment of ensemble methods in machine learning for modeling complex real estate systems
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5287263
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