Statistical Analysis of COVID-19 Impact on Italian Mortality
This study presents a methodology for evaluating the impact of the pandemic on mortality rates in Italy. The primary objectives are to define criteria for identifying a ‘rise in mortality’, establish a robust evaluation approach, and assess pandemic repercussions using the proposed framework. To con...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Mathematics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/15/2368 |
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| Summary: | This study presents a methodology for evaluating the impact of the pandemic on mortality rates in Italy. The primary objectives are to define criteria for identifying a ‘rise in mortality’, establish a robust evaluation approach, and assess pandemic repercussions using the proposed framework. To conduct a comparative analysis of mortality estimates, two classical models were employed: the Lee–Carter and the Renshaw–Haberman models. The analysis involved utilising actuarial tables and mortality models to quantify pandemic-induced excess deaths by calculating the disparity between these estimates. The proposed method aims to provide a comprehensive and clear understanding of the impact of the pandemic on mortality in Italy. |
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| ISSN: | 2227-7390 |