Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment

Abstract Potential output is a measure of the longer-term production possibilities of an economy. Since this quantity cannot be observed directly, it must be determined on the basis of assumptions from existing data. The use of a production function was established in the European Commission’s proce...

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Main Author: Torsten Schmidt
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2022-11-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3327-9
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author Torsten Schmidt
author_facet Torsten Schmidt
author_sort Torsten Schmidt
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Potential output is a measure of the longer-term production possibilities of an economy. Since this quantity cannot be observed directly, it must be determined on the basis of assumptions from existing data. The use of a production function was established in the European Commission’s procedure for calculating potential output. However, it is important to capture all drivers of economic growth. In the current EU procedure, total factor productivity (TFP), which is interpreted as a measure of technological progress, is assumed to be exogenous. This means that key drivers of economic growth, in particular research and development (R&D) activities, are not explicitly taken into account. An extension of the production function approach can be derived from the theory of endogenous growth. This would improve the theoretical basis of the potential output estimates.
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spelling doaj-art-9ede0d015f2d46108558cc793ef3927f2025-02-02T07:07:31ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst1613-978X2022-11-011021184284410.1007/s10273-022-3327-9Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential AssessmentTorsten Schmidt0RWI - Leibniz-Institut für WirtschaftsforschungAbstract Potential output is a measure of the longer-term production possibilities of an economy. Since this quantity cannot be observed directly, it must be determined on the basis of assumptions from existing data. The use of a production function was established in the European Commission’s procedure for calculating potential output. However, it is important to capture all drivers of economic growth. In the current EU procedure, total factor productivity (TFP), which is interpreted as a measure of technological progress, is assumed to be exogenous. This means that key drivers of economic growth, in particular research and development (R&D) activities, are not explicitly taken into account. An extension of the production function approach can be derived from the theory of endogenous growth. This would improve the theoretical basis of the potential output estimates.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3327-9
spellingShingle Torsten Schmidt
Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment
Wirtschaftsdienst
title Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment
title_full Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment
title_fullStr Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment
title_short Consider Research and Development Activities in the Potential Assessment
title_sort consider research and development activities in the potential assessment
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3327-9
work_keys_str_mv AT torstenschmidt considerresearchanddevelopmentactivitiesinthepotentialassessment