The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?

Creating a favorable and robust national financial ecosystem represents a pivotal objective for China during its new phase of development. This article employs principal component analysis to quantify trends in financial vulnerability, condition, stability, pressure, and development, collectively se...

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Main Authors: QIN Meng, SU Chi-Wei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu 2025-06-01
Series:Management of Sustainable Development
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Online Access:https://msdjournal.org/wp-content/uploads/vol17issue1-1.pdf
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author QIN Meng
SU Chi-Wei
author_facet QIN Meng
SU Chi-Wei
author_sort QIN Meng
collection DOAJ
description Creating a favorable and robust national financial ecosystem represents a pivotal objective for China during its new phase of development. This article employs principal component analysis to quantify trends in financial vulnerability, condition, stability, pressure, and development, collectively serving as indicators of financial market performance. Following this, the article delves deeper into the influence of uncertainty in economic policy on financial market operations by leveraging the SVAR model. The research concludes that an increase in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) initially exacerbates the fragility of the financial market, causing significant volatility and impacting its stability negatively. However, China’s financial market possesses a self-regulation mechanism that gradually mitigates and transforms this impact over time. Notably, a positive shock to EPU can alleviate financial pressure in the short term by temporarily suppressing the vitality of the market. In addition, the overall rise in EPU hinders financial development. In summary, despite the market’s self-regulatory capacity, heightened EPU still hinders financial sustainability in China. Based on this research, it is recommended that China should strengthen policy coordination and predictability to promote financial sustainability.
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spelling doaj-art-9e6c1e3dbd2f4e70ad28cfcc0998e94b2025-08-20T02:58:37ZengLucian Blaga University of SibiuManagement of Sustainable Development2066-93802247-02202025-06-01171116https://doi.org/10.54989/msd-2025-00011The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?QIN Meng0SU Chi-Wei1School of Marxism, Qingdao University, ChinaSchool of Economics, Qingdao University, ChinaCreating a favorable and robust national financial ecosystem represents a pivotal objective for China during its new phase of development. This article employs principal component analysis to quantify trends in financial vulnerability, condition, stability, pressure, and development, collectively serving as indicators of financial market performance. Following this, the article delves deeper into the influence of uncertainty in economic policy on financial market operations by leveraging the SVAR model. The research concludes that an increase in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) initially exacerbates the fragility of the financial market, causing significant volatility and impacting its stability negatively. However, China’s financial market possesses a self-regulation mechanism that gradually mitigates and transforms this impact over time. Notably, a positive shock to EPU can alleviate financial pressure in the short term by temporarily suppressing the vitality of the market. In addition, the overall rise in EPU hinders financial development. In summary, despite the market’s self-regulatory capacity, heightened EPU still hinders financial sustainability in China. Based on this research, it is recommended that China should strengthen policy coordination and predictability to promote financial sustainability.https://msdjournal.org/wp-content/uploads/vol17issue1-1.pdffinancial sustainability, economic policy uncertainty, principal component analysis, svar model
spellingShingle QIN Meng
SU Chi-Wei
The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?
Management of Sustainable Development
financial sustainability, economic policy uncertainty, principal component analysis, svar model
title The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?
title_full The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?
title_fullStr The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?
title_full_unstemmed The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?
title_short The Uncertainty of Economic Policy: A Hinder for Financial Sustainability?
title_sort uncertainty of economic policy a hinder for financial sustainability
topic financial sustainability, economic policy uncertainty, principal component analysis, svar model
url https://msdjournal.org/wp-content/uploads/vol17issue1-1.pdf
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