Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)

ABSTRACT Rice is the most important staple crop in Nepal, playing a critical role in both the economy and food security. This study analyzes the trends in rice cultivation, production, imports, and exports from fiscal years 2011/2012 to 2021/2022 and also presents population data from the initial an...

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Main Authors: Nabin Lamichhane, Urmila Dhami, Durga Dhakal, Lal Bahadur Thapa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-12-01
Series:Plant-Environment Interactions
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/pei3.70020
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author Nabin Lamichhane
Urmila Dhami
Durga Dhakal
Lal Bahadur Thapa
author_facet Nabin Lamichhane
Urmila Dhami
Durga Dhakal
Lal Bahadur Thapa
author_sort Nabin Lamichhane
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Rice is the most important staple crop in Nepal, playing a critical role in both the economy and food security. This study analyzes the trends in rice cultivation, production, imports, and exports from fiscal years 2011/2012 to 2021/2022 and also presents population data from the initial and final years. Over the study period, the area of rice cultivation declined by 0.81% annually, while the production grew by 1.5% per year, and the yield improved at a rate of 1.97% per year. Trend analysis indicated no significant changes in cultivation area or production, but a significant positive trend was observed in the yield. Rice import showed a significant annual increase of 5.61% in price value and 12.80% in quantity, while exports also grew by 1.95% in quantity and 2.39% in value. However, exports remain negligible compared to imports. Nepal's rice self‐sufficiency ratio (SSR) has declined by 1.15% annually, falling from 92.72% in 2011/2012 to 82.01% in 2021/2022 while its import dependency ratio (IDR) has increased by 5.89% annually. These trends suggest that Nepal is becoming increasingly vulnerable in terms of rice food security. Population dynamics based on two census records revealed a notable 14% rise in the foreign population. This situation underscores the urgent need for policy interventions to address the decline in rice self‐sufficiency, labor shortages, and growing import dependency, ensuring sustainable rice production and food security in Nepal.
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publishDate 2024-12-01
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spelling doaj-art-9e4e32a35a3d4bf8a7781f6e63bf03062025-08-20T02:39:59ZengWileyPlant-Environment Interactions2575-62652024-12-0156n/an/a10.1002/pei3.70020Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)Nabin Lamichhane0Urmila Dhami1Durga Dhakal2Lal Bahadur Thapa3Central Department of Botany Tribhuvan University Kirtipur Kathmandu NepalCentral Department of Botany Tribhuvan University Kirtipur Kathmandu NepalDhading Polytechnic Institute Council for Technical and Vocational Education and Training (CTEVT) Dhading NepalCentral Department of Botany Tribhuvan University Kirtipur Kathmandu NepalABSTRACT Rice is the most important staple crop in Nepal, playing a critical role in both the economy and food security. This study analyzes the trends in rice cultivation, production, imports, and exports from fiscal years 2011/2012 to 2021/2022 and also presents population data from the initial and final years. Over the study period, the area of rice cultivation declined by 0.81% annually, while the production grew by 1.5% per year, and the yield improved at a rate of 1.97% per year. Trend analysis indicated no significant changes in cultivation area or production, but a significant positive trend was observed in the yield. Rice import showed a significant annual increase of 5.61% in price value and 12.80% in quantity, while exports also grew by 1.95% in quantity and 2.39% in value. However, exports remain negligible compared to imports. Nepal's rice self‐sufficiency ratio (SSR) has declined by 1.15% annually, falling from 92.72% in 2011/2012 to 82.01% in 2021/2022 while its import dependency ratio (IDR) has increased by 5.89% annually. These trends suggest that Nepal is becoming increasingly vulnerable in terms of rice food security. Population dynamics based on two census records revealed a notable 14% rise in the foreign population. This situation underscores the urgent need for policy interventions to address the decline in rice self‐sufficiency, labor shortages, and growing import dependency, ensuring sustainable rice production and food security in Nepal.https://doi.org/10.1002/pei3.70020cultivationfood securityimport dependencyimport/exportpopulation dynamicsproduction
spellingShingle Nabin Lamichhane
Urmila Dhami
Durga Dhakal
Lal Bahadur Thapa
Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)
Plant-Environment Interactions
cultivation
food security
import dependency
import/export
population dynamics
production
title Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)
title_full Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)
title_fullStr Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)
title_full_unstemmed Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)
title_short Rice Cultivation Area, Demographic Trends, and Trade Dynamics for Food Security in Nepal (2011–2021)
title_sort rice cultivation area demographic trends and trade dynamics for food security in nepal 2011 2021
topic cultivation
food security
import dependency
import/export
population dynamics
production
url https://doi.org/10.1002/pei3.70020
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AT urmiladhami ricecultivationareademographictrendsandtradedynamicsforfoodsecurityinnepal20112021
AT durgadhakal ricecultivationareademographictrendsandtradedynamicsforfoodsecurityinnepal20112021
AT lalbahadurthapa ricecultivationareademographictrendsandtradedynamicsforfoodsecurityinnepal20112021