Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China

Significant energy transition would be needed in China under the carbon neutrality target. Since it would have important impacts on water resource through increased usage, understanding the water demand under specific climate change targets could enable better policy-making for the energy transition...

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Main Authors: Chenmin He, Kejun Jiang, Pianpian Xiang, Weiyi Jiang, Yifei Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2024.2389072
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author Chenmin He
Kejun Jiang
Pianpian Xiang
Weiyi Jiang
Yifei Zhang
author_facet Chenmin He
Kejun Jiang
Pianpian Xiang
Weiyi Jiang
Yifei Zhang
author_sort Chenmin He
collection DOAJ
description Significant energy transition would be needed in China under the carbon neutrality target. Since it would have important impacts on water resource through increased usage, understanding the water demand under specific climate change targets could enable better policy-making for the energy transition. In order to quantitatively analyze the impacts, this study proposed a methodology that combines CO2 emissions, energy transition, and water demand. An energy-water integrated assessment model was built, to simulate the future energy and CO2 emissions pathways up to 2050 in China. The water demand of energy systems under both policy scenario (PS) and two mitigation scenarios (2C and 1.5C) are calculated. The key influencing factors of water demand are analysed in two low-water-demand mitigation scenarios (2C-LW and 1.5C-LW). The results showed that China’s future energy system and CO2 emissions pathways change significantly under mitigation scenarios. The timing of the CO2 emissions peak advances from around 2030 under the PS scenario to between 2020 and 2025 in the mitigation scenarios. Near-zero emissions are achieved by 2050 under the 1.5C scenario. However, with no further water-saving measures, water consumption in energy sector would continue to increase under both the policy scenario and mitigation scenarios. This pressure is compounded by certain mitigation technologies, such as inland nuclear power, biomass energy, and CCS technologies. As such, the potential for water conservation in energy system under climate mitigation targets is studied. The results showed that water-saving measures can significantly reduce long-term water demand in the energy system.
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spelling doaj-art-9df7f2b8cb4d47eab02249e6e4c2470f2025-08-20T02:30:37ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Integrative Environmental Sciences1943-815X1943-81682024-12-0121110.1080/1943815X.2024.2389072Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in ChinaChenmin He0Kejun Jiang1Pianpian Xiang2Weiyi Jiang3Yifei Zhang4Zhejiang Carbon Neutral Innovation Institute & Zhejiang International Cooperation Base for Science and Technology on Carbon Emission Reduction and Monitoring, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaEnergy Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, Beijing, ChinaFaculty of Environment and Life, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, ChinaGraduate School of International Studies, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of KoreaZhejiang Carbon Neutral Innovation Institute & Zhejiang International Cooperation Base for Science and Technology on Carbon Emission Reduction and Monitoring, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaSignificant energy transition would be needed in China under the carbon neutrality target. Since it would have important impacts on water resource through increased usage, understanding the water demand under specific climate change targets could enable better policy-making for the energy transition. In order to quantitatively analyze the impacts, this study proposed a methodology that combines CO2 emissions, energy transition, and water demand. An energy-water integrated assessment model was built, to simulate the future energy and CO2 emissions pathways up to 2050 in China. The water demand of energy systems under both policy scenario (PS) and two mitigation scenarios (2C and 1.5C) are calculated. The key influencing factors of water demand are analysed in two low-water-demand mitigation scenarios (2C-LW and 1.5C-LW). The results showed that China’s future energy system and CO2 emissions pathways change significantly under mitigation scenarios. The timing of the CO2 emissions peak advances from around 2030 under the PS scenario to between 2020 and 2025 in the mitigation scenarios. Near-zero emissions are achieved by 2050 under the 1.5C scenario. However, with no further water-saving measures, water consumption in energy sector would continue to increase under both the policy scenario and mitigation scenarios. This pressure is compounded by certain mitigation technologies, such as inland nuclear power, biomass energy, and CCS technologies. As such, the potential for water conservation in energy system under climate mitigation targets is studied. The results showed that water-saving measures can significantly reduce long-term water demand in the energy system.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2024.2389072Carbon neutralityenergy transitionwater demandintegrated assessment modelChina
spellingShingle Chenmin He
Kejun Jiang
Pianpian Xiang
Weiyi Jiang
Yifei Zhang
Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China
Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
Carbon neutrality
energy transition
water demand
integrated assessment model
China
title Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China
title_full Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China
title_fullStr Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China
title_full_unstemmed Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China
title_short Alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in China
title_sort alignment of energy transition and water resources under the carbon neutrality target in china
topic Carbon neutrality
energy transition
water demand
integrated assessment model
China
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1943815X.2024.2389072
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AT pianpianxiang alignmentofenergytransitionandwaterresourcesunderthecarbonneutralitytargetinchina
AT weiyijiang alignmentofenergytransitionandwaterresourcesunderthecarbonneutralitytargetinchina
AT yifeizhang alignmentofenergytransitionandwaterresourcesunderthecarbonneutralitytargetinchina