The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023
The study’s main objective is to determine the relationship between the level of inflation and changes in the prices of selected gold futures contracts during the health crisis and war in 2020–2023. The study hypothesizes that there is a strong linear correlation between rising inflation levels and...
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Language: | English |
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Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan
2024-12-01
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Series: | Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny |
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Online Access: | https://pressto.amu.edu.pl/index.php/rpeis/article/view/42139 |
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author | Maria Czech Blandyna Puszer |
author_facet | Maria Czech Blandyna Puszer |
author_sort | Maria Czech |
collection | DOAJ |
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The study’s main objective is to determine the relationship between the level of inflation and changes in the prices of selected gold futures contracts during the health crisis and war in 2020–2023. The study hypothesizes that there is a strong linear correlation between rising inflation levels and increases in gold price levels. Quantitative research used dynamic analysis and multiple linear regression analysis to determine the direction of changes in selected inflation indicators and the prices of selected gold futures, as well as to evaluate the impact of inflation on these prices. The study found that inflation showed a strong upward trend in Poland, the Eurozone, Switzerland, and the US. The highest levels of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), between 2020 and 2023 were recorded in the USA and Poland, while in the Eurozone and Switzerland, CPI levels were much lower. The article shows that inflation growth is not only due to changes in food and energy prices but also to increases in the prices of other goods and services, as indicated by the rising levels of core inflation in the countries studied. Despite rising inflation, the prices of gold futures remained relatively stable, with the exception of Gold PLN Futures, which saw prices increase. The study demonstrates that inflation affects the prices of selected gold futures, but also that the impact of inflation on their prices is heterogeneous, varying both in terms of the direction and strength of the impact.
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format | Article |
id | doaj-art-9de2c261f6fb4d4296c91c0d8bc210cc |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 0035-9629 2543-9170 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
publisher | Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan |
record_format | Article |
series | Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny |
spelling | doaj-art-9de2c261f6fb4d4296c91c0d8bc210cc2025-01-03T08:30:30ZengAdam Mickiewicz University, PoznanRuch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny0035-96292543-91702024-12-0186410.14746/rpeis.2024.86.4.12The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023Maria Czech0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3572-6891Blandyna Puszer 1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4470-2998University of Economics in Katowice University of Economics in Katowice The study’s main objective is to determine the relationship between the level of inflation and changes in the prices of selected gold futures contracts during the health crisis and war in 2020–2023. The study hypothesizes that there is a strong linear correlation between rising inflation levels and increases in gold price levels. Quantitative research used dynamic analysis and multiple linear regression analysis to determine the direction of changes in selected inflation indicators and the prices of selected gold futures, as well as to evaluate the impact of inflation on these prices. The study found that inflation showed a strong upward trend in Poland, the Eurozone, Switzerland, and the US. The highest levels of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), between 2020 and 2023 were recorded in the USA and Poland, while in the Eurozone and Switzerland, CPI levels were much lower. The article shows that inflation growth is not only due to changes in food and energy prices but also to increases in the prices of other goods and services, as indicated by the rising levels of core inflation in the countries studied. Despite rising inflation, the prices of gold futures remained relatively stable, with the exception of Gold PLN Futures, which saw prices increase. The study demonstrates that inflation affects the prices of selected gold futures, but also that the impact of inflation on their prices is heterogeneous, varying both in terms of the direction and strength of the impact. https://pressto.amu.edu.pl/index.php/rpeis/article/view/42139inflation gold futures derivativesfinancial instrumentsalternative investmentuncertainty JEL: G12, G13, G15 |
spellingShingle | Maria Czech Blandyna Puszer The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023 Ruch Prawniczy, Ekonomiczny i Socjologiczny inflation gold futures derivatives financial instruments alternative investment uncertainty JEL: G12, G13, G15 |
title | The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023 |
title_full | The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023 |
title_fullStr | The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023 |
title_full_unstemmed | The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023 |
title_short | The Inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, 2020–2023 |
title_sort | inflation and the price changes of selected gold futures during the covid 19 pandemic and the war in ukraine 2020 2023 |
topic | inflation gold futures derivatives financial instruments alternative investment uncertainty JEL: G12, G13, G15 |
url | https://pressto.amu.edu.pl/index.php/rpeis/article/view/42139 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mariaczech theinflationandthepricechangesofselectedgoldfuturesduringthecovid19pandemicandthewarinukraine20202023 AT blandynapuszer theinflationandthepricechangesofselectedgoldfuturesduringthecovid19pandemicandthewarinukraine20202023 AT mariaczech inflationandthepricechangesofselectedgoldfuturesduringthecovid19pandemicandthewarinukraine20202023 AT blandynapuszer inflationandthepricechangesofselectedgoldfuturesduringthecovid19pandemicandthewarinukraine20202023 |