TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights
Our study includes the preprocessing of a year’s worth of historical data, which combines traditional financial metrics with sentiment scores derived from financial news and indices reflecting the prevailing political climate. This enriched dataset is employed to train four different machine learni...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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LibraryPress@UF
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Proceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference |
| Online Access: | https://journals.flvc.org/FLAIRS/article/view/139025 |
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| _version_ | 1850135336663908352 |
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| author | Andreas Marpaung David Masterson |
| author_facet | Andreas Marpaung David Masterson |
| author_sort | Andreas Marpaung |
| collection | DOAJ |
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Our study includes the preprocessing of a year’s worth of historical data, which combines traditional financial metrics with sentiment scores derived from financial news and indices reflecting the prevailing political climate. This enriched dataset is employed to train four different machine learning algorithms: a Hybrid, a Random Forest Model (RFM), a Support Vector Machine (SVM), and a K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) model. Our results indicate that the inclusion of sentiment and political data contributes positively to the performance of all test models, with significant enhancements noted particularly in precision and F1-scores. Our novel approach suggests that sentiment and political insights, when processed and integrated effectively, offer substantial predictive value that could refine the accuracy of financial prediction models. This enhanced performance underscores the potential of combining qualitative analyses with quantitative data to create more robust predictive models in finance.
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| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-9dd50d1892be4b6d81ba025f76019d1b |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2334-0754 2334-0762 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | LibraryPress@UF |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Proceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference |
| spelling | doaj-art-9dd50d1892be4b6d81ba025f76019d1b2025-08-20T02:31:27ZengLibraryPress@UFProceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference2334-07542334-07622025-05-0138110.32473/flairs.38.1.139025TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political InsightsAndreas Marpaung0David Mastersonhttps://orcid.org/0009-0003-0564-2547Full Sail University Our study includes the preprocessing of a year’s worth of historical data, which combines traditional financial metrics with sentiment scores derived from financial news and indices reflecting the prevailing political climate. This enriched dataset is employed to train four different machine learning algorithms: a Hybrid, a Random Forest Model (RFM), a Support Vector Machine (SVM), and a K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) model. Our results indicate that the inclusion of sentiment and political data contributes positively to the performance of all test models, with significant enhancements noted particularly in precision and F1-scores. Our novel approach suggests that sentiment and political insights, when processed and integrated effectively, offer substantial predictive value that could refine the accuracy of financial prediction models. This enhanced performance underscores the potential of combining qualitative analyses with quantitative data to create more robust predictive models in finance. https://journals.flvc.org/FLAIRS/article/view/139025 |
| spellingShingle | Andreas Marpaung David Masterson TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights Proceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference |
| title | TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights |
| title_full | TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights |
| title_fullStr | TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights |
| title_full_unstemmed | TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights |
| title_short | TradeWise: Towards Context-Aware Stock Market Predictions with Sentiment and Political Insights |
| title_sort | tradewise towards context aware stock market predictions with sentiment and political insights |
| url | https://journals.flvc.org/FLAIRS/article/view/139025 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT andreasmarpaung tradewisetowardscontextawarestockmarketpredictionswithsentimentandpoliticalinsights AT davidmasterson tradewisetowardscontextawarestockmarketpredictionswithsentimentandpoliticalinsights |