GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts

Based on the Backward Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation (Backward-4DVar) system with the Advanced Regional Eta-coordinate Model (AREM), which is capable of assimilating radio occultation data, a heavy rainfall case study is performed using GPS radio occultation (GPS RO) data and routine...

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Main Authors: Wei Cheng, Youping Xu, Zhiwu Deng, Chunli Gu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/1376235
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author Wei Cheng
Youping Xu
Zhiwu Deng
Chunli Gu
author_facet Wei Cheng
Youping Xu
Zhiwu Deng
Chunli Gu
author_sort Wei Cheng
collection DOAJ
description Based on the Backward Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation (Backward-4DVar) system with the Advanced Regional Eta-coordinate Model (AREM), which is capable of assimilating radio occultation data, a heavy rainfall case study is performed using GPS radio occultation (GPS RO) data and routine GTS data on July 5, 2007. The case study results indicate that the use of radio occultation data after quality control can improve the quality of the analysis to be similar to that of the observations and, thus, have a positive effect when improving 24-hour rainfall forecasts. Batch tests for 119 days from May to August during the flood season in 2009 show that only the use of GPS RO data can make positive improvements in both 24-hour and 48-hour regional rainfall forecasts and obtain a better B score for 24-hour forecasts and better TS score for 48-hour forecasts. When using radio occultation refractivity data and conventional radiosonde data, the results indicate that radio occultation refractivity data can achieve a better performance for 48-hour forecasts of light rain and heavy rain.
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institution OA Journals
issn 1687-9309
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language English
publishDate 2018-01-01
publisher Wiley
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spelling doaj-art-9d904e217bf04e70a9e3c33889c112c32025-08-20T02:20:30ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172018-01-01201810.1155/2018/13762351376235GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood ForecastsWei Cheng0Youping Xu1Zhiwu Deng2Chunli Gu3State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, ChinaInstitute of Applied Meteorology, Beijing 100029, ChinaInstitute of Applied Meteorology, Beijing 100029, ChinaBased on the Backward Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation (Backward-4DVar) system with the Advanced Regional Eta-coordinate Model (AREM), which is capable of assimilating radio occultation data, a heavy rainfall case study is performed using GPS radio occultation (GPS RO) data and routine GTS data on July 5, 2007. The case study results indicate that the use of radio occultation data after quality control can improve the quality of the analysis to be similar to that of the observations and, thus, have a positive effect when improving 24-hour rainfall forecasts. Batch tests for 119 days from May to August during the flood season in 2009 show that only the use of GPS RO data can make positive improvements in both 24-hour and 48-hour regional rainfall forecasts and obtain a better B score for 24-hour forecasts and better TS score for 48-hour forecasts. When using radio occultation refractivity data and conventional radiosonde data, the results indicate that radio occultation refractivity data can achieve a better performance for 48-hour forecasts of light rain and heavy rain.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/1376235
spellingShingle Wei Cheng
Youping Xu
Zhiwu Deng
Chunli Gu
GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts
Advances in Meteorology
title GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts
title_full GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts
title_fullStr GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts
title_full_unstemmed GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts
title_short GPS Radio Occultation Data Assimilation in the AREM Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model for Flood Forecasts
title_sort gps radio occultation data assimilation in the arem regional numerical weather prediction model for flood forecasts
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/1376235
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AT zhiwudeng gpsradiooccultationdataassimilationinthearemregionalnumericalweatherpredictionmodelforfloodforecasts
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