Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations

Certain fixed-income securities, such as callable bonds and mortgage-backed securities subject to prepayment, typically exhibit negative convexity at low yields and cannot be adequately immunized through duration and convexity-matching alone. To address this residual risk, we examine the concepts of...

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Main Authors: Scott S. Dow, Stefanos C. Orfanos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/13/4/69
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author Scott S. Dow
Stefanos C. Orfanos
author_facet Scott S. Dow
Stefanos C. Orfanos
author_sort Scott S. Dow
collection DOAJ
description Certain fixed-income securities, such as callable bonds and mortgage-backed securities subject to prepayment, typically exhibit negative convexity at low yields and cannot be adequately immunized through duration and convexity-matching alone. To address this residual risk, we examine the concepts of bond tilt and bond agility. We provide explicit calculations and derive several approximation formulas that incorporate higher-order terms. With the help of these methods, we are able to track the price-yield dynamics of callable bonds remarkably well, achieving mean absolute errors below 2.5% across a wide variety of callable bonds for parallel yield shifts of up to ±200 basis points.
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spelling doaj-art-9d4fdfcca8e1475c8202a4dbd8b405452025-08-20T03:13:48ZengMDPI AGRisks2227-90912025-04-011346910.3390/risks13040069Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order ApproximationsScott S. Dow0Stefanos C. Orfanos1M. R. Greenberg School of Risk Science, J. Mack Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA 30302, USAM. R. Greenberg School of Risk Science, J. Mack Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA 30302, USACertain fixed-income securities, such as callable bonds and mortgage-backed securities subject to prepayment, typically exhibit negative convexity at low yields and cannot be adequately immunized through duration and convexity-matching alone. To address this residual risk, we examine the concepts of bond tilt and bond agility. We provide explicit calculations and derive several approximation formulas that incorporate higher-order terms. With the help of these methods, we are able to track the price-yield dynamics of callable bonds remarkably well, achieving mean absolute errors below 2.5% across a wide variety of callable bonds for parallel yield shifts of up to ±200 basis points.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/13/4/69bond agilitybond tilthigher-order approximationsnegative convexity bonds
spellingShingle Scott S. Dow
Stefanos C. Orfanos
Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations
Risks
bond agility
bond tilt
higher-order approximations
negative convexity bonds
title Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations
title_full Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations
title_fullStr Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations
title_full_unstemmed Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations
title_short Interest Rate Sensitivity of Callable Bonds and Higher-Order Approximations
title_sort interest rate sensitivity of callable bonds and higher order approximations
topic bond agility
bond tilt
higher-order approximations
negative convexity bonds
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/13/4/69
work_keys_str_mv AT scottsdow interestratesensitivityofcallablebondsandhigherorderapproximations
AT stefanoscorfanos interestratesensitivityofcallablebondsandhigherorderapproximations