The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco

Background: Morocco experienced direct economic losses of approximately USD147.9 million due to climate-related disasters. Climate change (CC) could cost Morocco up to 6.5% of its GDP by 2050 if current trends continue, particularly due to freshwater scarcity (FWS) and droughts. For example, floods...

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Main Authors: Hamdi El Asli, Mohamed Azeroual
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Sustainable Futures
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825002667
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author Hamdi El Asli
Mohamed Azeroual
author_facet Hamdi El Asli
Mohamed Azeroual
author_sort Hamdi El Asli
collection DOAJ
description Background: Morocco experienced direct economic losses of approximately USD147.9 million due to climate-related disasters. Climate change (CC) could cost Morocco up to 6.5% of its GDP by 2050 if current trends continue, particularly due to freshwater scarcity (FWS) and droughts. For example, floods alone account for about 0.8% of GDP annually. CC affects everyday life, with 86% of Moroccan respondents indicating its impact (more details in Introduction). Methods: By setting four different pieces of emiprical evidence, to test the annual fluctuations of the same STIRPAT determinants on, CC through CO2 emissions, Atmospheric pollution by GHGs emissions, freshwater scarcity via internal freshwater whithdrawals and the share of Morocco’s contribution to global warming (CGW), from 1965 to 2023, with the ARDL, DOLS, FMOLS and CCR cointegration approaches. Findings: Economic affluence and demographic pressure, besides trade, exert a negative disproportionate impact on the four target subjects in high, low, and relatively low proportions, respectively, whereas promoting an andvanced level of education to the Moroccan youth undermines their noxiousness, all together, on environment albeit, moderately. Consclusions: Morocco's environmental sustainability (ES) is compromised by anthropogenic processes driven by affluence, demographics, and trade openness, and requires the efficient and effective implementation of policies outlined in a climate action roadmap for all stakeholders..
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spelling doaj-art-9cfb667e3fb34157929c2fda39999b112025-08-20T03:20:06ZengElsevierSustainable Futures2666-18882025-06-01910069910.1016/j.sftr.2025.100699The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in MoroccoHamdi El Asli0Mohamed Azeroual1Sultan Moulay Slimane University, 23000 Beni-Mellal, Polydisciplinary Faculty of Khouribga, Laboratory of Economics and Management, 25000 Khouribga, Morocco; Corresponding author.Sultan Moulay Slimane University, 23000 Beni-Mellal, Polydisciplinary Faculty of Khouribga, Laboratory of Economics and Management, 25000 Khouribga, and Associated Researcher in Laboratory MFMDI, SUPMTI, 10000 Rabat, MoroccoBackground: Morocco experienced direct economic losses of approximately USD147.9 million due to climate-related disasters. Climate change (CC) could cost Morocco up to 6.5% of its GDP by 2050 if current trends continue, particularly due to freshwater scarcity (FWS) and droughts. For example, floods alone account for about 0.8% of GDP annually. CC affects everyday life, with 86% of Moroccan respondents indicating its impact (more details in Introduction). Methods: By setting four different pieces of emiprical evidence, to test the annual fluctuations of the same STIRPAT determinants on, CC through CO2 emissions, Atmospheric pollution by GHGs emissions, freshwater scarcity via internal freshwater whithdrawals and the share of Morocco’s contribution to global warming (CGW), from 1965 to 2023, with the ARDL, DOLS, FMOLS and CCR cointegration approaches. Findings: Economic affluence and demographic pressure, besides trade, exert a negative disproportionate impact on the four target subjects in high, low, and relatively low proportions, respectively, whereas promoting an andvanced level of education to the Moroccan youth undermines their noxiousness, all together, on environment albeit, moderately. Consclusions: Morocco's environmental sustainability (ES) is compromised by anthropogenic processes driven by affluence, demographics, and trade openness, and requires the efficient and effective implementation of policies outlined in a climate action roadmap for all stakeholders..http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825002667E20I25J11Q25O43Q50
spellingShingle Hamdi El Asli
Mohamed Azeroual
The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco
Sustainable Futures
E20
I25
J11
Q25
O43
Q50
title The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco
title_full The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco
title_fullStr The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco
title_full_unstemmed The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco
title_short The long-run anthropogenic incidence on climate change, air pollution, water scarcity, and contribution to global warming in Morocco
title_sort long run anthropogenic incidence on climate change air pollution water scarcity and contribution to global warming in morocco
topic E20
I25
J11
Q25
O43
Q50
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825002667
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