Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions

The dynamics of marsh wetland vegetation (MWV) play a vital role in the carbon cycle of marsh wetlands under the background global climate change. However, it is still unclear the response of MWV to climate change in China. According to the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series a...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yue Deng, Shujing Gao, Lulu Liu, Weiguo Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25005114
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849325742658158592
author Yue Deng
Shujing Gao
Lulu Liu
Weiguo Jiang
author_facet Yue Deng
Shujing Gao
Lulu Liu
Weiguo Jiang
author_sort Yue Deng
collection DOAJ
description The dynamics of marsh wetland vegetation (MWV) play a vital role in the carbon cycle of marsh wetlands under the background global climate change. However, it is still unclear the response of MWV to climate change in China. According to the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series and climate data in the three major marsh wetland regions of China (Zoige Plateau, Bayanbulak-Bosten Region, and Sanjiang Plain) from 2001 to 2022, this study adopted Sen’s slope and Mann-Kendall test, Pearson’s correlation analysis, Event Coincidence Analysis and Bayesian Adaptive Lasso Quantile Regression to explore the MWV’s response to climate change. The results show that: (1) minimum temperature is the dominant climate factor affecting the interannual variation and monthly variation of grwoing-season MWV. (2) The MWV’s response to temperature shows no time effects. The MWV’s response to precipitation is dominated by time-accumulation effects (total precipitation from previous one month to current month) in Zoige Plateau and Bayanbulak-Bosten Region. MWV’s response to precipitation shows no time effects in Sanjiang Plain. (3) In Zoige Plateau, extreme negative MWV significantly coincide with extreme dry and extreme cold events. In Bayanbulak-Bosten Region, extreme positive or negative MWV are mainly influenced by precipitation. Especially, extreme positive MWV significantly coincide with extreme wet events. In Sanjiang Plain, extreme negative MWV significantly coincide with extreme cold events while extreme positive MWV significantly coincide with nighttime extreme hot events. Overall, this research contributes novel insights into MWV’s response to climate change, which is helpful for the conservation of wetland ecosystems.
format Article
id doaj-art-9cbc6fa7e3b6440fbd6217d626bf1e42
institution Kabale University
issn 1470-160X
language English
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Ecological Indicators
spelling doaj-art-9cbc6fa7e3b6440fbd6217d626bf1e422025-08-20T03:48:19ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2025-06-0117511358110.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113581Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regionsYue Deng0Shujing Gao1Lulu Liu2Weiguo Jiang3School of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Chengdu University, Chengdu 610106, China; Corresponding author.School of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Chengdu University, Chengdu 610106, ChinaSchool of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Chengdu University, Chengdu 610106, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100101, ChinaThe dynamics of marsh wetland vegetation (MWV) play a vital role in the carbon cycle of marsh wetlands under the background global climate change. However, it is still unclear the response of MWV to climate change in China. According to the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series and climate data in the three major marsh wetland regions of China (Zoige Plateau, Bayanbulak-Bosten Region, and Sanjiang Plain) from 2001 to 2022, this study adopted Sen’s slope and Mann-Kendall test, Pearson’s correlation analysis, Event Coincidence Analysis and Bayesian Adaptive Lasso Quantile Regression to explore the MWV’s response to climate change. The results show that: (1) minimum temperature is the dominant climate factor affecting the interannual variation and monthly variation of grwoing-season MWV. (2) The MWV’s response to temperature shows no time effects. The MWV’s response to precipitation is dominated by time-accumulation effects (total precipitation from previous one month to current month) in Zoige Plateau and Bayanbulak-Bosten Region. MWV’s response to precipitation shows no time effects in Sanjiang Plain. (3) In Zoige Plateau, extreme negative MWV significantly coincide with extreme dry and extreme cold events. In Bayanbulak-Bosten Region, extreme positive or negative MWV are mainly influenced by precipitation. Especially, extreme positive MWV significantly coincide with extreme wet events. In Sanjiang Plain, extreme negative MWV significantly coincide with extreme cold events while extreme positive MWV significantly coincide with nighttime extreme hot events. Overall, this research contributes novel insights into MWV’s response to climate change, which is helpful for the conservation of wetland ecosystems.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25005114Marsh wetland vegetationClimate changeEvent coincidence analysisBayesian adaptive lasso quantile regressionChina
spellingShingle Yue Deng
Shujing Gao
Lulu Liu
Weiguo Jiang
Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions
Ecological Indicators
Marsh wetland vegetation
Climate change
Event coincidence analysis
Bayesian adaptive lasso quantile regression
China
title Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions
title_full Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions
title_fullStr Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions
title_full_unstemmed Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions
title_short Growing-season NDVI responses to climate change in China’s three major marsh wetland regions
title_sort growing season ndvi responses to climate change in china s three major marsh wetland regions
topic Marsh wetland vegetation
Climate change
Event coincidence analysis
Bayesian adaptive lasso quantile regression
China
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25005114
work_keys_str_mv AT yuedeng growingseasonndviresponsestoclimatechangeinchinasthreemajormarshwetlandregions
AT shujinggao growingseasonndviresponsestoclimatechangeinchinasthreemajormarshwetlandregions
AT lululiu growingseasonndviresponsestoclimatechangeinchinasthreemajormarshwetlandregions
AT weiguojiang growingseasonndviresponsestoclimatechangeinchinasthreemajormarshwetlandregions