High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks

Exact solutions of epidemic models are critical for identifying the severity and mitigation possibility for epidemics. However, solving complex models can be difficult when interfering conditions from the real-world are incorporated into the models. In this paper, we focus on the generally unsolvabl...

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Main Authors: Kai Wang, Xiao Fan Liu, Dongchao Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6637761
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author Kai Wang
Xiao Fan Liu
Dongchao Guo
author_facet Kai Wang
Xiao Fan Liu
Dongchao Guo
author_sort Kai Wang
collection DOAJ
description Exact solutions of epidemic models are critical for identifying the severity and mitigation possibility for epidemics. However, solving complex models can be difficult when interfering conditions from the real-world are incorporated into the models. In this paper, we focus on the generally unsolvable adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) epidemic model, a typical example of a class of epidemic models that characterize the complex interplays between the virus spread and network structural evolution. We propose two methods based on mean-field approximation, i.e., the first-order mean-field approximation (FOMFA) and higher-order mean-field approximation (HOMFA), to derive the exact solutions to ASIS models. Both methods demonstrate the capability of accurately approximating the metastable-state statistics of the model, such as the infection fraction and network density, with low computational cost. These methods are potentially powerful tools in understanding, mitigating, and controlling disease outbreaks and infodemics.
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spelling doaj-art-9c9dc4ea2f0e4d8cb790fe1756950bf42025-08-20T03:38:16ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66377616637761High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size NetworksKai Wang0Xiao Fan Liu1Dongchao Guo2School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Weihai 264209, ChinaDepartment of Media and Communication, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong SAR, ChinaSchool of Computer Science, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, Beijing 100192, ChinaExact solutions of epidemic models are critical for identifying the severity and mitigation possibility for epidemics. However, solving complex models can be difficult when interfering conditions from the real-world are incorporated into the models. In this paper, we focus on the generally unsolvable adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) epidemic model, a typical example of a class of epidemic models that characterize the complex interplays between the virus spread and network structural evolution. We propose two methods based on mean-field approximation, i.e., the first-order mean-field approximation (FOMFA) and higher-order mean-field approximation (HOMFA), to derive the exact solutions to ASIS models. Both methods demonstrate the capability of accurately approximating the metastable-state statistics of the model, such as the infection fraction and network density, with low computational cost. These methods are potentially powerful tools in understanding, mitigating, and controlling disease outbreaks and infodemics.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6637761
spellingShingle Kai Wang
Xiao Fan Liu
Dongchao Guo
High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks
Complexity
title High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks
title_full High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks
title_fullStr High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks
title_full_unstemmed High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks
title_short High-Order Mean-Field Approximations for Adaptive Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible Model in Finite-Size Networks
title_sort high order mean field approximations for adaptive susceptible infected susceptible model in finite size networks
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6637761
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