The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS

We assess pre-outbreak and during-outbreak vaccination as control strategies for SARS epidemics using a mathematical model that includes susceptible, latent (traced and untraced), infectious, isolated and recovered individuals. Scenarios focusing on policies that include contact tracing and levels o...

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Main Authors: Julijana Gjorgjieva, Kelly Smith, Gerardo Chowell, Fabio Sánchez, Jessica Snyder, Carlos Castillo-Chavez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2005-09-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2005.2.753
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author Julijana Gjorgjieva
Kelly Smith
Gerardo Chowell
Fabio Sánchez
Jessica Snyder
Carlos Castillo-Chavez
author_facet Julijana Gjorgjieva
Kelly Smith
Gerardo Chowell
Fabio Sánchez
Jessica Snyder
Carlos Castillo-Chavez
author_sort Julijana Gjorgjieva
collection DOAJ
description We assess pre-outbreak and during-outbreak vaccination as control strategies for SARS epidemics using a mathematical model that includes susceptible, latent (traced and untraced), infectious, isolated and recovered individuals. Scenarios focusing on policies that include contact tracing and levels of self-isolation among untraced infected individuals are explored. Bounds on the proportion of pre-outbreak successfully vaccinated individuals are provided using the the basic reproductive number. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses on the reproductive number are carried out. The final epidemic size under different vaccination scenarios is computed.
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publishDate 2005-09-01
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series Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-9b8792af125844ce905bd98632ada9482025-01-24T01:49:46ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182005-09-012475376910.3934/mbe.2005.2.753The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARSJulijana Gjorgjieva0Kelly Smith1Gerardo Chowell2Fabio Sánchez3Jessica Snyder4Carlos Castillo-Chavez5Department of Mathematics, Harvey Mudd College, 340 E. Foothill Blvd. Claremont, CA 91711Mathematics department, Clarion University of Pennsylvania, Clarion, Pennsylvania 16214Theoretical Division (MS B284), Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545BSCB, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853College of Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia 30332Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1804We assess pre-outbreak and during-outbreak vaccination as control strategies for SARS epidemics using a mathematical model that includes susceptible, latent (traced and untraced), infectious, isolated and recovered individuals. Scenarios focusing on policies that include contact tracing and levels of self-isolation among untraced infected individuals are explored. Bounds on the proportion of pre-outbreak successfully vaccinated individuals are provided using the the basic reproductive number. Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses on the reproductive number are carried out. The final epidemic size under different vaccination scenarios is computed.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2005.2.753vaccinationisolation.severe acute respiratory syndrome (sars)contact tracingmathematical model
spellingShingle Julijana Gjorgjieva
Kelly Smith
Gerardo Chowell
Fabio Sánchez
Jessica Snyder
Carlos Castillo-Chavez
The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
vaccination
isolation.
severe acute respiratory syndrome (sars)
contact tracing
mathematical model
title The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
title_full The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
title_fullStr The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
title_full_unstemmed The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
title_short The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS
title_sort role of vaccination in the control of sars
topic vaccination
isolation.
severe acute respiratory syndrome (sars)
contact tracing
mathematical model
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2005.2.753
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