Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China

This paper uses the difference-in-difference (DID) method to test the impact of government audits on analysts’ forecast accuracy. The empirical results show that after government audit announcements, analysts’ earning forecast accuracy of listed companies controlled by audited state-owned enterprise...

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Main Author: Jia Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-12-01
Series:SAGE Open
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440241255236
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author Jia Li
author_facet Jia Li
author_sort Jia Li
collection DOAJ
description This paper uses the difference-in-difference (DID) method to test the impact of government audits on analysts’ forecast accuracy. The empirical results show that after government audit announcements, analysts’ earning forecast accuracy of listed companies controlled by audited state-owned enterprises is significantly improved, while optimistic forecast bias and stock recommendation ratings are significantly lowered. Among them, the impact of operation and management issues on analysts’ forecast accuracy is more significant, while the impact of financial and accounting issues on analysts’ stock recommendation ratings is more significant. These indicate that government audit announcements have information effect and transmits companies’ incremental information to capital market. The conclusions pass the sensitivity tests and robustness tests. This paper not only enriches the literature on the relationship between government behavior and capital market, but also provides empirical support for the impact of government regulation on capital market efficiency.
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issn 2158-2440
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series SAGE Open
spelling doaj-art-9b45a4de4d554ec3a017fdacc0f63c3f2025-08-20T02:49:00ZengSAGE PublishingSAGE Open2158-24402024-12-011410.1177/21582440241255236Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From ChinaJia Li0Tongling University, ChinaThis paper uses the difference-in-difference (DID) method to test the impact of government audits on analysts’ forecast accuracy. The empirical results show that after government audit announcements, analysts’ earning forecast accuracy of listed companies controlled by audited state-owned enterprises is significantly improved, while optimistic forecast bias and stock recommendation ratings are significantly lowered. Among them, the impact of operation and management issues on analysts’ forecast accuracy is more significant, while the impact of financial and accounting issues on analysts’ stock recommendation ratings is more significant. These indicate that government audit announcements have information effect and transmits companies’ incremental information to capital market. The conclusions pass the sensitivity tests and robustness tests. This paper not only enriches the literature on the relationship between government behavior and capital market, but also provides empirical support for the impact of government regulation on capital market efficiency.https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440241255236
spellingShingle Jia Li
Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China
SAGE Open
title Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China
title_full Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China
title_fullStr Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China
title_full_unstemmed Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China
title_short Government Audit Announcements and Analysts’ Earning Forecasts: Evidence From China
title_sort government audit announcements and analysts earning forecasts evidence from china
url https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440241255236
work_keys_str_mv AT jiali governmentauditannouncementsandanalystsearningforecastsevidencefromchina