Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis

ObjectivesTo present the most recent and comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the predictive value of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for the long-term outcomes of elderly patients with fractures.MethodsWe systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane, Embase and Web of Science...

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Main Authors: Bing Bai, Xilin Liu, Hong Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Nutrition
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnut.2025.1631128/full
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author Bing Bai
Xilin Liu
Hong Li
author_facet Bing Bai
Xilin Liu
Hong Li
author_sort Bing Bai
collection DOAJ
description ObjectivesTo present the most recent and comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the predictive value of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for the long-term outcomes of elderly patients with fractures.MethodsWe systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane, Embase and Web of Science up to July, 2025 for studies assessing the predictive value of PNI for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fractures. The primary outcome measured was mortality. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used for data pooling. Additionally, sensitivity and subgroup analyzes were performed to assess the stability of the results and identify potential sources of heterogeneity. All analyzes were performed using Review Manger 5.4 and STATA 15.1.ResultsEight studies encompassing 11,576 elderly individuals were included for meta-analysis. The meta-analysis demonstrated that mortality was notably lower in individuals with high PNI compared to those with low PNI (OR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.85; p < 0.0001). Subgroup analysis of mortality based on study design and PNI cut-off showed that the predictive value of PNI for mortality remained significant in prospective studies and those with a cut-off value ≥40. However, this association was not observed in retrospective studies or those with a cut-off below 40.ConclusionPNI can effectively predict the long-term mortality in elderly individuals with fractures. Considering the limitations of this article, future large-scale, multicenter prospective cohort studies are still required to evaluate the prognostic value of PNI in senior patients with fractures and its influencing factors.Systematic review registrationPROSPERO, identifier CRD420251047385.
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spelling doaj-art-9af009cee6d8434daa48c4d49e9e5df72025-08-20T03:39:26ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Nutrition2296-861X2025-08-011210.3389/fnut.2025.16311281631128Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysisBing Bai0Xilin Liu1Hong Li2Medical Service Dimension, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDepartment of Hand and Foot Surgery, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDepartment of Nursing, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaObjectivesTo present the most recent and comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the predictive value of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for the long-term outcomes of elderly patients with fractures.MethodsWe systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane, Embase and Web of Science up to July, 2025 for studies assessing the predictive value of PNI for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fractures. The primary outcome measured was mortality. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used for data pooling. Additionally, sensitivity and subgroup analyzes were performed to assess the stability of the results and identify potential sources of heterogeneity. All analyzes were performed using Review Manger 5.4 and STATA 15.1.ResultsEight studies encompassing 11,576 elderly individuals were included for meta-analysis. The meta-analysis demonstrated that mortality was notably lower in individuals with high PNI compared to those with low PNI (OR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.85; p < 0.0001). Subgroup analysis of mortality based on study design and PNI cut-off showed that the predictive value of PNI for mortality remained significant in prospective studies and those with a cut-off value ≥40. However, this association was not observed in retrospective studies or those with a cut-off below 40.ConclusionPNI can effectively predict the long-term mortality in elderly individuals with fractures. Considering the limitations of this article, future large-scale, multicenter prospective cohort studies are still required to evaluate the prognostic value of PNI in senior patients with fractures and its influencing factors.Systematic review registrationPROSPERO, identifier CRD420251047385.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnut.2025.1631128/fullprognostic nutritional indexelderlyfracturemortalitymeta-analysis
spellingShingle Bing Bai
Xilin Liu
Hong Li
Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Frontiers in Nutrition
prognostic nutritional index
elderly
fracture
mortality
meta-analysis
title Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_fullStr Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_short Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long-term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_sort predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the long term prognosis of elderly patients with fracture a systematic review and meta analysis
topic prognostic nutritional index
elderly
fracture
mortality
meta-analysis
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnut.2025.1631128/full
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AT hongli predictivevalueofprognosticnutritionalindexforthelongtermprognosisofelderlypatientswithfractureasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis