Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal

COVID-19 hit the world in a sudden and uneven way. Scientific community has provided strong evidence about socioeconomic characteristics of the territory associated with the geographical pattern of COVID-19 incidence. Still, the role played by these factors differs between study areas. Geographical...

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Main Authors: Ricardo Almendra, Paula Santana, Claudia Costa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Asociación Española de Geografía 2021-12-01
Series:Boletín de la Asociación de Geógrafos Españoles
Subjects:
Online Access:https://bage.age-geografia.es/ojs/index.php/bage/article/view/3160
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author Ricardo Almendra
Paula Santana
Claudia Costa
author_facet Ricardo Almendra
Paula Santana
Claudia Costa
author_sort Ricardo Almendra
collection DOAJ
description COVID-19 hit the world in a sudden and uneven way. Scientific community has provided strong evidence about socioeconomic characteristics of the territory associated with the geographical pattern of COVID-19 incidence. Still, the role played by these factors differs between study areas. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models were applied to explore the spatially varying association between age-standardized COVID-19 incidence rate in 2020 and socioeconomic conditions in Portugal, at the municipality level. The spatial context was defined as a function of the number of neighbours; the bandwidth was determined through AIC. Prior, the validity of the GWR was assessed through ordinary least squares models. Border proximity, proportion of overcrowded living quarters, persons employed in manufacturing establishments and persons employed in construction establishments were found to be significant predictors. It was possible to observe that municipalities are affected differently by the same factor, and that this varying influence has identifiable geographical patterns, the role of each analysed factor varies importantly across the country. This study provides useful insights for policymakers for targeted interventions and for proper identification of risk factors.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-99f0df891dfe43afbda68a6e13d3009f2025-02-10T20:39:26ZengAsociación Española de GeografíaBoletín de la Asociación de Geógrafos Españoles0212-94262605-33222021-12-019110.21138/bage.3160Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in PortugalRicardo Almendra0Paula Santana1Claudia Costa2University of CoimbraUniversity of CoimbraUniversity of Coimbra COVID-19 hit the world in a sudden and uneven way. Scientific community has provided strong evidence about socioeconomic characteristics of the territory associated with the geographical pattern of COVID-19 incidence. Still, the role played by these factors differs between study areas. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models were applied to explore the spatially varying association between age-standardized COVID-19 incidence rate in 2020 and socioeconomic conditions in Portugal, at the municipality level. The spatial context was defined as a function of the number of neighbours; the bandwidth was determined through AIC. Prior, the validity of the GWR was assessed through ordinary least squares models. Border proximity, proportion of overcrowded living quarters, persons employed in manufacturing establishments and persons employed in construction establishments were found to be significant predictors. It was possible to observe that municipalities are affected differently by the same factor, and that this varying influence has identifiable geographical patterns, the role of each analysed factor varies importantly across the country. This study provides useful insights for policymakers for targeted interventions and for proper identification of risk factors. https://bage.age-geografia.es/ojs/index.php/bage/article/view/3160COVID-19geographical patternssocioeconomic disparitiesspatial analysis
spellingShingle Ricardo Almendra
Paula Santana
Claudia Costa
Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal
Boletín de la Asociación de Geógrafos Españoles
COVID-19
geographical patterns
socioeconomic disparities
spatial analysis
title Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal
title_full Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal
title_fullStr Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal
title_full_unstemmed Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal
title_short Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in Portugal
title_sort spatial inequalities of covid 19 incidence and associated socioeconomic risk factors in portugal
topic COVID-19
geographical patterns
socioeconomic disparities
spatial analysis
url https://bage.age-geografia.es/ojs/index.php/bage/article/view/3160
work_keys_str_mv AT ricardoalmendra spatialinequalitiesofcovid19incidenceandassociatedsocioeconomicriskfactorsinportugal
AT paulasantana spatialinequalitiesofcovid19incidenceandassociatedsocioeconomicriskfactorsinportugal
AT claudiacosta spatialinequalitiesofcovid19incidenceandassociatedsocioeconomicriskfactorsinportugal