A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa
The Markov chain (MC) technique is used preliminarily in the evaluation of the ranking of selected institutions of higher learning of South Africa. The data related to Scimago is used to illustrate the practical implication of MC. A random selection of universities was conducted for applying the MC...
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International Institute of Informatics and Cybernetics
2024-04-01
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| Series: | Journal of Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics |
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| Online Access: | http://www.iiisci.org/Journal/PDV/sci/pdfs/EB949XD24.pdf
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| author | Masikini Lugoma Masengo Ilunga |
| author_facet | Masikini Lugoma Masengo Ilunga |
| author_sort | Masikini Lugoma |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The Markov chain (MC) technique is used preliminarily in the evaluation of the ranking of selected institutions of higher learning of South Africa. The data related to Scimago is used to illustrate the practical implication of MC. A random selection of universities was conducted for applying the MC technique., i.e., a middle and a bottom performing universities are selected. Different states were defined to carry out the estimation of the steady state of the Markov Chain to predict theoretically the future state of their rankings. These preliminary results showed that the former had 2 states with probability distributions of (0, 1) respectively, whereas the latter had 5 states with probability distribution of (0.892, 0.035, 0.035, 0.035, 0.01). This approach could be replicated to the rest of institutions of higher learning and considering other ranking metrics. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-99c24e050f124561afe2f2f43aa7eb60 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1690-4524 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-04-01 |
| publisher | International Institute of Informatics and Cybernetics |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics |
| spelling | doaj-art-99c24e050f124561afe2f2f43aa7eb602025-08-20T02:25:11ZengInternational Institute of Informatics and CyberneticsJournal of Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics1690-45242024-04-012223236A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South AfricaMasikini LugomaMasengo IlungaThe Markov chain (MC) technique is used preliminarily in the evaluation of the ranking of selected institutions of higher learning of South Africa. The data related to Scimago is used to illustrate the practical implication of MC. A random selection of universities was conducted for applying the MC technique., i.e., a middle and a bottom performing universities are selected. Different states were defined to carry out the estimation of the steady state of the Markov Chain to predict theoretically the future state of their rankings. These preliminary results showed that the former had 2 states with probability distributions of (0, 1) respectively, whereas the latter had 5 states with probability distribution of (0.892, 0.035, 0.035, 0.035, 0.01). This approach could be replicated to the rest of institutions of higher learning and considering other ranking metrics.http://www.iiisci.org/Journal/PDV/sci/pdfs/EB949XD24.pdf probabilistic forecastingscimago rankingsuniversities rankingmarkov chain |
| spellingShingle | Masikini Lugoma Masengo Ilunga A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa Journal of Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics probabilistic forecasting scimago rankings universities ranking markov chain |
| title | A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa |
| title_full | A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa |
| title_fullStr | A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa |
| title_short | A Markov Chain Approach for the Evaluation of Global Performance of Universities of South Africa |
| title_sort | markov chain approach for the evaluation of global performance of universities of south africa |
| topic | probabilistic forecasting scimago rankings universities ranking markov chain |
| url | http://www.iiisci.org/Journal/PDV/sci/pdfs/EB949XD24.pdf
|
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