Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach

In this article, an R-vine copula model is proposed to detect the nonlinear interrelationships between the oil market and five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets from 2017 to 2022, i.e., photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, energy storage, wind power, and nuclear power industries. Firstly, the t...

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Main Authors: Kongsheng Zhang, Xiaorui Xu, Mingtao Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/12/1934
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author Kongsheng Zhang
Xiaorui Xu
Mingtao Zhao
author_facet Kongsheng Zhang
Xiaorui Xu
Mingtao Zhao
author_sort Kongsheng Zhang
collection DOAJ
description In this article, an R-vine copula model is proposed to detect the nonlinear interrelationships between the oil market and five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets from 2017 to 2022, i.e., photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, energy storage, wind power, and nuclear power industries. Firstly, the transmission of downward and upward risk spillover effects (RSEs) is measured from the oil market to the five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets. Subsequently, a CoVaR backtesting methodology is developed to demonstrate the availability of the R-vine copula-CoVaR model. The empirical studies strongly show that the oil market exhibits a significant asymmetric RSE on the five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets. Furthermore, different Chinese new-energy-related stock markets have varying responses to the positive and negative impacts of the oil market. Specifically, the photovoltaic, energy storage, and wind power industries are more sensitive to such adverse effects. However, the new energy vehicle and nuclear power industries are more likely to be positively affected.
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series Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-99ba5dd40f064df39dc02dc3158a8e0c2025-08-20T03:27:40ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902025-06-011312193410.3390/math13121934Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR ApproachKongsheng Zhang0Xiaorui Xu1Mingtao Zhao2Institute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233041, ChinaInstitute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233041, ChinaInstitute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233041, ChinaIn this article, an R-vine copula model is proposed to detect the nonlinear interrelationships between the oil market and five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets from 2017 to 2022, i.e., photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, energy storage, wind power, and nuclear power industries. Firstly, the transmission of downward and upward risk spillover effects (RSEs) is measured from the oil market to the five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets. Subsequently, a CoVaR backtesting methodology is developed to demonstrate the availability of the R-vine copula-CoVaR model. The empirical studies strongly show that the oil market exhibits a significant asymmetric RSE on the five Chinese new-energy-related stock markets. Furthermore, different Chinese new-energy-related stock markets have varying responses to the positive and negative impacts of the oil market. Specifically, the photovoltaic, energy storage, and wind power industries are more sensitive to such adverse effects. However, the new energy vehicle and nuclear power industries are more likely to be positively affected.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/12/1934risk spillover effectoil marketstock marketsR-vine copulaCoVaR
spellingShingle Kongsheng Zhang
Xiaorui Xu
Mingtao Zhao
Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach
Mathematics
risk spillover effect
oil market
stock markets
R-vine copula
CoVaR
title Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach
title_full Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach
title_fullStr Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach
title_full_unstemmed Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach
title_short Risk Spillover Effect from Oil to Chinese New-Energy-Related Stock Markets: An R-vine Copula-Based CoVaR Approach
title_sort risk spillover effect from oil to chinese new energy related stock markets an r vine copula based covar approach
topic risk spillover effect
oil market
stock markets
R-vine copula
CoVaR
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/12/1934
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AT xiaoruixu riskspillovereffectfromoiltochinesenewenergyrelatedstockmarketsanrvinecopulabasedcovarapproach
AT mingtaozhao riskspillovereffectfromoiltochinesenewenergyrelatedstockmarketsanrvinecopulabasedcovarapproach