The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm

This article maps and explains the shift in economic thinking at the European Central Bank (ECB), i.e., its “ideational” evolution over the past two decades. When the ECB was set up in 1999 its institutional design and epistemic outlook were very much inspired by the legacy of the German central ban...

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Main Authors: Lucia Quaglia, Amy Verdun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cogitatio 2025-01-01
Series:Politics and Governance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/8920
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author Lucia Quaglia
Amy Verdun
author_facet Lucia Quaglia
Amy Verdun
author_sort Lucia Quaglia
collection DOAJ
description This article maps and explains the shift in economic thinking at the European Central Bank (ECB), i.e., its “ideational” evolution over the past two decades. When the ECB was set up in 1999 its institutional design and epistemic outlook were very much inspired by the legacy of the German central bank, the Bundesbank. Thus, the ECB embraced a “price stability” paradigm that prioritized inflation control. However, over time, policy learning in response to economic shocks (first and foremost, a series of consecutive financial and economic crises from 2008 onwards) and the internal organic evolution of the ECB have led to a shift of economic thinking at the Bank, which has also been reflected by its policy actions. The new paradigm can be characterized as a “multidimensional stability” paradigm. By relying on inter alia secondary literature, speeches, semi-structured elite interviews, and data we collected concerning the previous experience at national central banks of senior ECB staff, we identify a novel causal mechanism for ideational change at the Bank: the change in the composition of senior managerial staff from 1999 onward.
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spelling doaj-art-99576ebb20bb455a8f13ee1beb2299ae2025-01-30T10:39:25ZengCogitatioPolitics and Governance2183-24632025-01-0113010.17645/pag.89203889The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability ParadigmLucia Quaglia0Amy Verdun1Department of Political and Social Sciences, University of Bologna, ItalyDepartment of Political Science, University of Victoria, Canada / Institute of Political Science, Leiden University, The NetherlandsThis article maps and explains the shift in economic thinking at the European Central Bank (ECB), i.e., its “ideational” evolution over the past two decades. When the ECB was set up in 1999 its institutional design and epistemic outlook were very much inspired by the legacy of the German central bank, the Bundesbank. Thus, the ECB embraced a “price stability” paradigm that prioritized inflation control. However, over time, policy learning in response to economic shocks (first and foremost, a series of consecutive financial and economic crises from 2008 onwards) and the internal organic evolution of the ECB have led to a shift of economic thinking at the Bank, which has also been reflected by its policy actions. The new paradigm can be characterized as a “multidimensional stability” paradigm. By relying on inter alia secondary literature, speeches, semi-structured elite interviews, and data we collected concerning the previous experience at national central banks of senior ECB staff, we identify a novel causal mechanism for ideational change at the Bank: the change in the composition of senior managerial staff from 1999 onward.https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/8920central bankcrisiseuroeuropean central bankmonetary policypolicy paradigms
spellingShingle Lucia Quaglia
Amy Verdun
The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm
Politics and Governance
central bank
crisis
euro
european central bank
monetary policy
policy paradigms
title The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm
title_full The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm
title_fullStr The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm
title_full_unstemmed The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm
title_short The European Central Bank: From a Price Stability Paradigm to a Multidimensional Stability Paradigm
title_sort european central bank from a price stability paradigm to a multidimensional stability paradigm
topic central bank
crisis
euro
european central bank
monetary policy
policy paradigms
url https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/8920
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