A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles

It is of great significance to improve the driving range prediction accuracy to provide battery electric vehicle users with reliable information. A model built by the conventional multiple linear regression method is feasible to predict the driving range, but the residual errors between -3.6975 km a...

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Main Authors: Shuai Sun, Jun Zhang, Jun Bi, Yongxing Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/4109148
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author Shuai Sun
Jun Zhang
Jun Bi
Yongxing Wang
author_facet Shuai Sun
Jun Zhang
Jun Bi
Yongxing Wang
author_sort Shuai Sun
collection DOAJ
description It is of great significance to improve the driving range prediction accuracy to provide battery electric vehicle users with reliable information. A model built by the conventional multiple linear regression method is feasible to predict the driving range, but the residual errors between -3.6975 km and 3.3865 km are relatively unfaithful for real-world driving. The study is innovative in its application of machine learning method, the gradient boosting decision tree algorithm, on the driving range prediction which includes a very large number of factors that cannot be considered by conventional regression methods. The result of the machine learning method shows that the maximum prediction error is 1.58 km, the minimum prediction error is -1.41 km, and the average prediction error is about 0.7 km. The predictive accuracy of the gradient boosting decision tree is compared against that of the conventional approaches.
format Article
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institution OA Journals
issn 0197-6729
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language English
publishDate 2019-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-990b938b0b7e4e61a16b614d2582015f2025-08-20T02:10:16ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952019-01-01201910.1155/2019/41091484109148A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric VehiclesShuai Sun0Jun Zhang1Jun Bi2Yongxing Wang3School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaYunnan Travelsky Airport Technology Co. Ltd., Kunming 650200, ChinaSchool of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaSchool of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaIt is of great significance to improve the driving range prediction accuracy to provide battery electric vehicle users with reliable information. A model built by the conventional multiple linear regression method is feasible to predict the driving range, but the residual errors between -3.6975 km and 3.3865 km are relatively unfaithful for real-world driving. The study is innovative in its application of machine learning method, the gradient boosting decision tree algorithm, on the driving range prediction which includes a very large number of factors that cannot be considered by conventional regression methods. The result of the machine learning method shows that the maximum prediction error is 1.58 km, the minimum prediction error is -1.41 km, and the average prediction error is about 0.7 km. The predictive accuracy of the gradient boosting decision tree is compared against that of the conventional approaches.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/4109148
spellingShingle Shuai Sun
Jun Zhang
Jun Bi
Yongxing Wang
A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles
title_full A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles
title_fullStr A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles
title_full_unstemmed A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles
title_short A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Driving Range of Battery Electric Vehicles
title_sort machine learning method for predicting driving range of battery electric vehicles
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/4109148
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