Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021

BackgroundThyroid cancer has increased globally, particularly among young women, highlighting the need for research on its epidemiological characteristics and disease burden in women of child-bearing age. This study aimed to analyze the global and regional burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2021,...

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Main Authors: Tao Jiang, Li Bin, Huiting Liu, Cailiang Gao, Xue Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1555841/full
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author Tao Jiang
Li Bin
Huiting Liu
Cailiang Gao
Xue Liu
author_facet Tao Jiang
Li Bin
Huiting Liu
Cailiang Gao
Xue Liu
author_sort Tao Jiang
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundThyroid cancer has increased globally, particularly among young women, highlighting the need for research on its epidemiological characteristics and disease burden in women of child-bearing age. This study aimed to analyze the global and regional burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2021, focusing on women of child-bearing age, and to predict trends up to 2035.MethodsThis study analyzed the global and regional burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2021, focusing on women of child-bearing age, using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Key indicators assessed included incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of thyroid cancer in different regions. Statistical analysis techniques were employed to compare the burden across regions and countries, examining the effects of age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI) on disease burden. The Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model was used to predict the incidence, mortality, and DALYs of thyroid cancer from 2022 to 2035.ResultsGlobally, in 2021, there were 67,558 new cases of thyroid cancer among women of child-bearing age, with 3,260 deaths and 206,508 DALYs. Compared to 1990, new cases increased by 156.86%, deaths increased by 52.33%, and DALYs increased by 61.72%. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), mortality rate (ASMR), and DALYs rate (ASDR) per 100,000 population were 3.37, 0.16, and 10.38, respectively. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) for ASIR was 1.47, indicating an increasing trend, whereas the EAPCs for ASMR and ASDR were -0.35 and -0.05, showing decreasing trends. The burden of thyroid cancer among patients with women of child-bearing age exhibited a significant age-related trend, peaking in the 45–49 age group. There were significant regional and national variations in thyroid cancer burden, which are closely related to the SDI. By 2035, a notable increase in the incidence, mortality, and DALYs associated with thyroid cancer among women of child-bearing age has been predicted globally.ConclusionOver the past 30 years, thyroid cancer incidence among women has significantly increased globally, with slightly declining mortality and DALYs rates. Significant regional and national variations are closely linked to the SDI. As the population ages and incidence continues to rise, targeted prevention and treatment strategies, particularly in low SDI regions, are crucial to effectively reduce mortality and DALYs.
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spelling doaj-art-98baeb0f5f874ac9bdf7c53c6732c35b2025-08-20T03:30:19ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922025-06-011610.3389/fendo.2025.15558411555841Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021Tao Jiang0Li Bin1Huiting Liu2Cailiang Gao3Xue Liu4Department of Nuclear Medicine, Hunan University of Medicine General Hospital, Huaihua, Hunan, ChinaDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Chongqing University Three Gorges Hospital, Wanzhou, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Chongqing University Three Gorges Hospital, Wanzhou, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Chongqing University Three Gorges Hospital, Wanzhou, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Chongqing University Three Gorges Hospital, Wanzhou, Chongqing, ChinaBackgroundThyroid cancer has increased globally, particularly among young women, highlighting the need for research on its epidemiological characteristics and disease burden in women of child-bearing age. This study aimed to analyze the global and regional burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2021, focusing on women of child-bearing age, and to predict trends up to 2035.MethodsThis study analyzed the global and regional burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2021, focusing on women of child-bearing age, using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Key indicators assessed included incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of thyroid cancer in different regions. Statistical analysis techniques were employed to compare the burden across regions and countries, examining the effects of age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI) on disease burden. The Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model was used to predict the incidence, mortality, and DALYs of thyroid cancer from 2022 to 2035.ResultsGlobally, in 2021, there were 67,558 new cases of thyroid cancer among women of child-bearing age, with 3,260 deaths and 206,508 DALYs. Compared to 1990, new cases increased by 156.86%, deaths increased by 52.33%, and DALYs increased by 61.72%. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), mortality rate (ASMR), and DALYs rate (ASDR) per 100,000 population were 3.37, 0.16, and 10.38, respectively. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) for ASIR was 1.47, indicating an increasing trend, whereas the EAPCs for ASMR and ASDR were -0.35 and -0.05, showing decreasing trends. The burden of thyroid cancer among patients with women of child-bearing age exhibited a significant age-related trend, peaking in the 45–49 age group. There were significant regional and national variations in thyroid cancer burden, which are closely related to the SDI. By 2035, a notable increase in the incidence, mortality, and DALYs associated with thyroid cancer among women of child-bearing age has been predicted globally.ConclusionOver the past 30 years, thyroid cancer incidence among women has significantly increased globally, with slightly declining mortality and DALYs rates. Significant regional and national variations are closely linked to the SDI. As the population ages and incidence continues to rise, targeted prevention and treatment strategies, particularly in low SDI regions, are crucial to effectively reduce mortality and DALYs.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1555841/fullthyroid cancerwomen of child-bearing ageDALYsincidenceglobal burden of diseasesocio-demographic index
spellingShingle Tao Jiang
Li Bin
Huiting Liu
Cailiang Gao
Xue Liu
Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
Frontiers in Endocrinology
thyroid cancer
women of child-bearing age
DALYs
incidence
global burden of disease
socio-demographic index
title Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
title_full Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
title_fullStr Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
title_full_unstemmed Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
title_short Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child-bearing age, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
title_sort global regional and national burden of thyroid cancer in women of child bearing age 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035 an analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021
topic thyroid cancer
women of child-bearing age
DALYs
incidence
global burden of disease
socio-demographic index
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1555841/full
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