A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction

Background and aimThis study aimed to develop a predictive model for early neurological deterioration (END) in branch atheromatous disease (BAD) affecting the lenticulostriate artery (LSA) territory using machine learning. Additionally, it aimed to explore the underlying mechanisms of END occurrence...

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Main Authors: Zhuangzhuang Jiang, Dongjuan Xu, Hongfei Li, Xiaolan Wu, Yuan Fang, Chen Lou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Neuroscience
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnins.2024.1496810/full
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author Zhuangzhuang Jiang
Dongjuan Xu
Hongfei Li
Xiaolan Wu
Yuan Fang
Chen Lou
author_facet Zhuangzhuang Jiang
Dongjuan Xu
Hongfei Li
Xiaolan Wu
Yuan Fang
Chen Lou
author_sort Zhuangzhuang Jiang
collection DOAJ
description Background and aimThis study aimed to develop a predictive model for early neurological deterioration (END) in branch atheromatous disease (BAD) affecting the lenticulostriate artery (LSA) territory using machine learning. Additionally, it aimed to explore the underlying mechanisms of END occurrence in this context.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of consecutive ischemic stroke patients with BAD in the LSA territory admitted to Dongyang People’s Hospital from January 1, 2018, to September 30, 2023. Significant predictors were identified using LASSO regression, and nine machine learning algorithms were employed to construct models. The logistic regression model demonstrated superior performance and was selected for further analysis.ResultsA total of 380 patients were included, with 268 in the training set and 112 in the validation set. Logistic regression identified stroke history, systolic pressure, conglomerated beads sign, middle cerebral artery (MCA) shape, and parent artery stenosis as significant predictors of END. The developed nomogram exhibited good discriminative ability and calibration. Additionally, the decision curve analysis indicated the practical clinical utility of the nomogram.ConclusionThe novel nomogram incorporating systolic pressure, stroke history, conglomerated beads sign, parent artery stenosis, and MCA shape provides a practical tool for assessing the risk of early neurological deterioration in BAD affecting the LSA territory. This model enhances clinical decision-making and personalized treatment strategies.
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spelling doaj-art-98ad797465d3482a96dfc7e9884cc9702025-08-20T02:38:59ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neuroscience1662-453X2024-12-011810.3389/fnins.2024.14968101496810A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarctionZhuangzhuang JiangDongjuan XuHongfei LiXiaolan WuYuan FangChen LouBackground and aimThis study aimed to develop a predictive model for early neurological deterioration (END) in branch atheromatous disease (BAD) affecting the lenticulostriate artery (LSA) territory using machine learning. Additionally, it aimed to explore the underlying mechanisms of END occurrence in this context.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of consecutive ischemic stroke patients with BAD in the LSA territory admitted to Dongyang People’s Hospital from January 1, 2018, to September 30, 2023. Significant predictors were identified using LASSO regression, and nine machine learning algorithms were employed to construct models. The logistic regression model demonstrated superior performance and was selected for further analysis.ResultsA total of 380 patients were included, with 268 in the training set and 112 in the validation set. Logistic regression identified stroke history, systolic pressure, conglomerated beads sign, middle cerebral artery (MCA) shape, and parent artery stenosis as significant predictors of END. The developed nomogram exhibited good discriminative ability and calibration. Additionally, the decision curve analysis indicated the practical clinical utility of the nomogram.ConclusionThe novel nomogram incorporating systolic pressure, stroke history, conglomerated beads sign, parent artery stenosis, and MCA shape provides a practical tool for assessing the risk of early neurological deterioration in BAD affecting the LSA territory. This model enhances clinical decision-making and personalized treatment strategies.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnins.2024.1496810/fullearly neurological deteriorationbranch atheromatous diseaselenticulostriate arteryischemic strokemachine learning
spellingShingle Zhuangzhuang Jiang
Dongjuan Xu
Hongfei Li
Xiaolan Wu
Yuan Fang
Chen Lou
A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction
Frontiers in Neuroscience
early neurological deterioration
branch atheromatous disease
lenticulostriate artery
ischemic stroke
machine learning
title A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction
title_full A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction
title_fullStr A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction
title_full_unstemmed A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction
title_short A machine learning-based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease-related infarction
title_sort machine learning based predictive model for predicting early neurological deterioration in lenticulostriate atheromatous disease related infarction
topic early neurological deterioration
branch atheromatous disease
lenticulostriate artery
ischemic stroke
machine learning
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnins.2024.1496810/full
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