Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?

The causal illusion is a cognitive bias that involves believing that one event causes another when it does not. It has negative consequences in different spheres of life, including health. Therefore, diverse interventions have been designed to reduce it. The more common ones are educational interven...

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Main Authors: Aranzazu Vinas, Fernando Blanco, Helena Matute
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2025-06-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.250082
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author Aranzazu Vinas
Fernando Blanco
Helena Matute
author_facet Aranzazu Vinas
Fernando Blanco
Helena Matute
author_sort Aranzazu Vinas
collection DOAJ
description The causal illusion is a cognitive bias that involves believing that one event causes another when it does not. It has negative consequences in different spheres of life, including health. Therefore, diverse interventions have been designed to reduce it. The more common ones are educational interventions. These include different elements related to improving both, motivation and information. We wanted to explore which of the two factors was more important for their effectiveness. We first used financial incentives to promote motivation (experiments 1a and 1b), but did not find them effective. Second, we used debiasing instructions about what has to be done to infer the causal relationship between two events accurately. This effectively reduced the causal illusion when the circumstances were in place for the illusion to be high (experiment 2). We discuss the results and their theoretical and practical implications.
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publishDate 2025-06-01
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series Royal Society Open Science
spelling doaj-art-984e2e8df0a84dd1a49e4c39368e58ea2025-08-20T03:45:41ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032025-06-0112610.1098/rsos.250082Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?Aranzazu Vinas0Fernando Blanco1Helena Matute2Department of Psychology, University of Deusto, Bilbao, SpainDepartment of Social Psychology, University of Granada, Granada, SpainDepartment of Psychology, University of Deusto, Bilbao, SpainThe causal illusion is a cognitive bias that involves believing that one event causes another when it does not. It has negative consequences in different spheres of life, including health. Therefore, diverse interventions have been designed to reduce it. The more common ones are educational interventions. These include different elements related to improving both, motivation and information. We wanted to explore which of the two factors was more important for their effectiveness. We first used financial incentives to promote motivation (experiments 1a and 1b), but did not find them effective. Second, we used debiasing instructions about what has to be done to infer the causal relationship between two events accurately. This effectively reduced the causal illusion when the circumstances were in place for the illusion to be high (experiment 2). We discuss the results and their theoretical and practical implications.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.250082decision-makingcognitive biascausal illusionincentivesdebiasingcausal judgements
spellingShingle Aranzazu Vinas
Fernando Blanco
Helena Matute
Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?
Royal Society Open Science
decision-making
cognitive bias
causal illusion
incentives
debiasing
causal judgements
title Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?
title_full Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?
title_fullStr Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?
title_full_unstemmed Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?
title_short Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information?
title_sort reducing the causal illusion a question of motivation or of information
topic decision-making
cognitive bias
causal illusion
incentives
debiasing
causal judgements
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.250082
work_keys_str_mv AT aranzazuvinas reducingthecausalillusionaquestionofmotivationorofinformation
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