Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions

Real-time service life prediction offers an effective means of assessing the remaining service life of operational control devices in rail transit systems. Currently, the primary methods employed for this purpose are based on physics-of-failure analysis and degradation data, respectively. Early in t...

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Main Authors: TANG Huan, LI Yizhu, LYU Peng
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Electric Drive for Locomotives 2024-09-01
Series:机车电传动
Subjects:
Online Access:http://edl.csrzic.com/thesisDetails#10.13890/j.issn.1000-128X.2024.05.002
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author TANG Huan
LI Yizhu
LYU Peng
author_facet TANG Huan
LI Yizhu
LYU Peng
author_sort TANG Huan
collection DOAJ
description Real-time service life prediction offers an effective means of assessing the remaining service life of operational control devices in rail transit systems. Currently, the primary methods employed for this purpose are based on physics-of-failure analysis and degradation data, respectively. Early in the lifecycle of these control devices, the lack of real-time degradation data makes the physics-of-failure-based methods more accurate. However, as these devices approach the end of their lifecycle, a large amount of degradation data accumulates, allowing the degradation-data-based methods to yield more precise predictions. This paper proposes a kernel function-based fusion algorithm for service life prediction that combines predictions from both methods to enhance accuracy in predictions throughout the entire lifecycle. Accelerated degradation experiments were conducted using an optical coupler on a core board of a rail transit control device to compare the results from the physics-of-failure-based method, the degradation-data-based method, and the proposed fusion algorithm. The results demonstrate that the fusion algorithm achieves higher prediction accuracy throughout the entire lifecycle compared with the other two methods.
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publisher Editorial Department of Electric Drive for Locomotives
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series 机车电传动
spelling doaj-art-97c741dafd7d411cb27c8634c81fa90e2025-08-20T03:09:25ZzhoEditorial Department of Electric Drive for Locomotives机车电传动1000-128X2024-09-01121678096788Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functionsTANG HuanLI YizhuLYU PengReal-time service life prediction offers an effective means of assessing the remaining service life of operational control devices in rail transit systems. Currently, the primary methods employed for this purpose are based on physics-of-failure analysis and degradation data, respectively. Early in the lifecycle of these control devices, the lack of real-time degradation data makes the physics-of-failure-based methods more accurate. However, as these devices approach the end of their lifecycle, a large amount of degradation data accumulates, allowing the degradation-data-based methods to yield more precise predictions. This paper proposes a kernel function-based fusion algorithm for service life prediction that combines predictions from both methods to enhance accuracy in predictions throughout the entire lifecycle. Accelerated degradation experiments were conducted using an optical coupler on a core board of a rail transit control device to compare the results from the physics-of-failure-based method, the degradation-data-based method, and the proposed fusion algorithm. The results demonstrate that the fusion algorithm achieves higher prediction accuracy throughout the entire lifecycle compared with the other two methods.http://edl.csrzic.com/thesisDetails#10.13890/j.issn.1000-128X.2024.05.002urban rail transitreal-time service life predictionphysics-of-failuredegradation datakernel function
spellingShingle TANG Huan
LI Yizhu
LYU Peng
Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
机车电传动
urban rail transit
real-time service life prediction
physics-of-failure
degradation data
kernel function
title Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
title_full Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
title_fullStr Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
title_full_unstemmed Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
title_short Research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
title_sort research on fusion algorithm for service life prediction based on kernel functions
topic urban rail transit
real-time service life prediction
physics-of-failure
degradation data
kernel function
url http://edl.csrzic.com/thesisDetails#10.13890/j.issn.1000-128X.2024.05.002
work_keys_str_mv AT tanghuan researchonfusionalgorithmforservicelifepredictionbasedonkernelfunctions
AT liyizhu researchonfusionalgorithmforservicelifepredictionbasedonkernelfunctions
AT lyupeng researchonfusionalgorithmforservicelifepredictionbasedonkernelfunctions