Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050

To achieve the climate protection goals, enormous efforts must be undertaken in all sectors: households, industry, commerce, and transport. Following a straightforward approach, the political objectives foresee, that in the building sector a massive reduction of energy use for the heat supply is acc...

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Main Authors: Michael Barton, Franziska Pichlmeier, Marissa Wolter, Christian Schweigler
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Czech Technical University in Prague 2022-12-01
Series:Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8277
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author Michael Barton
Franziska Pichlmeier
Marissa Wolter
Christian Schweigler
author_facet Michael Barton
Franziska Pichlmeier
Marissa Wolter
Christian Schweigler
author_sort Michael Barton
collection DOAJ
description To achieve the climate protection goals, enormous efforts must be undertaken in all sectors: households, industry, commerce, and transport. Following a straightforward approach, the political objectives foresee, that in the building sector a massive reduction of energy use for the heat supply is accomplished. However, previous investigations have shown that this reduction of energy consumption is not feasible. Older buildings exhibit especially high energy demand and emissions. Yet, due to the low refurbishment rate, no substantial change of the heat demand can be expected within the next decades. By fully renovating the entire residential building stock, approximately 70 % of the final energy demand and related CO2 emissions could be saved, still not enough to reach the political goals. Therefore, renovation or renewal of buildings and of the use of renewable energy sources have to be implemented jointly for achieving the desired savings. The methods used to estimate the characteristics of Bavaria’s residential building stock as well as its heating energy demand and related CO2 emissions for the year 2050 are presented. Alternative goals are given which base upon the achievable final energy saving for a realistic renovation scenario accompanied by further reduction of CO2 emissions by using renewable energies.
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series Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
spelling doaj-art-97a8e06f4a5f4c38ab1256fe93f5a6fa2025-08-20T03:33:50ZengCzech Technical University in PragueActa Polytechnica CTU Proceedings2336-53822022-12-013842943510.14311/APP.2022.38.04295517Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050Michael Barton0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-2381Franziska Pichlmeier1Marissa Wolter2Christian Schweigler3Munich University of Applied Sciences, CENERGIE – Center for Energy-Efficient Buildings and Districts, Lothstr. 34, Munich, 80335, GermanyMunich University of Applied Sciences, CENERGIE – Center for Energy-Efficient Buildings and Districts, Lothstr. 34, Munich, 80335, GermanyMunich University of Applied Sciences, CENERGIE – Center for Energy-Efficient Buildings and Districts, Lothstr. 34, Munich, 80335, GermanyMunich University of Applied Sciences, CENERGIE – Center for Energy-Efficient Buildings and Districts, Lothstr. 34, Munich, 80335, GermanyTo achieve the climate protection goals, enormous efforts must be undertaken in all sectors: households, industry, commerce, and transport. Following a straightforward approach, the political objectives foresee, that in the building sector a massive reduction of energy use for the heat supply is accomplished. However, previous investigations have shown that this reduction of energy consumption is not feasible. Older buildings exhibit especially high energy demand and emissions. Yet, due to the low refurbishment rate, no substantial change of the heat demand can be expected within the next decades. By fully renovating the entire residential building stock, approximately 70 % of the final energy demand and related CO2 emissions could be saved, still not enough to reach the political goals. Therefore, renovation or renewal of buildings and of the use of renewable energy sources have to be implemented jointly for achieving the desired savings. The methods used to estimate the characteristics of Bavaria’s residential building stock as well as its heating energy demand and related CO2 emissions for the year 2050 are presented. Alternative goals are given which base upon the achievable final energy saving for a realistic renovation scenario accompanied by further reduction of CO2 emissions by using renewable energies.https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8277refurbishmentbuilding stockclimate neutrality
spellingShingle Michael Barton
Franziska Pichlmeier
Marissa Wolter
Christian Schweigler
Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050
Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
refurbishment
building stock
climate neutrality
title Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050
title_full Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050
title_fullStr Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050
title_full_unstemmed Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050
title_short Development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in Bavaria till 2050
title_sort development of a realistic scenario for the thermal energy demand of residential buildings in bavaria till 2050
topic refurbishment
building stock
climate neutrality
url https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8277
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AT franziskapichlmeier developmentofarealisticscenarioforthethermalenergydemandofresidentialbuildingsinbavariatill2050
AT marissawolter developmentofarealisticscenarioforthethermalenergydemandofresidentialbuildingsinbavariatill2050
AT christianschweigler developmentofarealisticscenarioforthethermalenergydemandofresidentialbuildingsinbavariatill2050