The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model

The turbine rotor is a core component in many energy conversion systems, where it is subjected to loads such as aerodynamic and centrifugal forces that make it highly susceptible to damage. Consequently, the reliability of the turbine rotor ranks among the key aspects of concern. This paper proposes...

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Main Authors: Haiwei Lin, Liang Yang, Hong Bao, Feng Zhang, Feifei Zhao, Chaoxin Lu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Machines
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1702/13/7/625
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author Haiwei Lin
Liang Yang
Hong Bao
Feng Zhang
Feifei Zhao
Chaoxin Lu
author_facet Haiwei Lin
Liang Yang
Hong Bao
Feng Zhang
Feifei Zhao
Chaoxin Lu
author_sort Haiwei Lin
collection DOAJ
description The turbine rotor is a core component in many energy conversion systems, where it is subjected to loads such as aerodynamic and centrifugal forces that make it highly susceptible to damage. Consequently, the reliability of the turbine rotor ranks among the key aspects of concern. This paper proposes an efficient approach based on the kriging model to conduct the reliability analysis of a turbine rotor. First, a parametric model of the turbine rotor was established. This parametric model was subsequently applied in a multifactor fluid–structure interaction model used to analyze the working performance of the turbine rotor. Finally, a kriging surrogate model was built and applied using these data in combination with various reliability analysis methods to analyze the structural reliability and reliability sensitivities of the turbine rotor. Furthermore, the reliability sensitivity results indicated that the outlet pressure had the greatest impact on rotor reliability. Thus, the proposed method was shown to have practical application value in the reliability analysis of the rotor structure.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2075-1702
language English
publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher MDPI AG
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series Machines
spelling doaj-art-97943535489d48149ee90f0e24e2a1352025-08-20T03:32:32ZengMDPI AGMachines2075-17022025-07-0113762510.3390/machines13070625The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate ModelHaiwei Lin0Liang Yang1Hong Bao2Feng Zhang3Feifei Zhao4Chaoxin Lu5College of Mechano-Electronic Engineering, Xidian University, Xi’an 710071, ChinaGuizhou Gas Group Corporation Ltd., Guiyang 550004, ChinaCollege of Mechano-Electronic Engineering, Xidian University, Xi’an 710071, ChinaSchool of Mechanics, Civil Engineering & Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710072, ChinaCollege of Mechano-Electronic Engineering, Xidian University, Xi’an 710071, ChinaSchool of Aerospace Engineering, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, ChinaThe turbine rotor is a core component in many energy conversion systems, where it is subjected to loads such as aerodynamic and centrifugal forces that make it highly susceptible to damage. Consequently, the reliability of the turbine rotor ranks among the key aspects of concern. This paper proposes an efficient approach based on the kriging model to conduct the reliability analysis of a turbine rotor. First, a parametric model of the turbine rotor was established. This parametric model was subsequently applied in a multifactor fluid–structure interaction model used to analyze the working performance of the turbine rotor. Finally, a kriging surrogate model was built and applied using these data in combination with various reliability analysis methods to analyze the structural reliability and reliability sensitivities of the turbine rotor. Furthermore, the reliability sensitivity results indicated that the outlet pressure had the greatest impact on rotor reliability. Thus, the proposed method was shown to have practical application value in the reliability analysis of the rotor structure.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1702/13/7/625turbine rotorreliability analysiskriging surrogate modelsensitivity analysis
spellingShingle Haiwei Lin
Liang Yang
Hong Bao
Feng Zhang
Feifei Zhao
Chaoxin Lu
The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model
Machines
turbine rotor
reliability analysis
kriging surrogate model
sensitivity analysis
title The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model
title_full The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model
title_fullStr The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model
title_full_unstemmed The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model
title_short The Reliability Analysis of a Turbine Rotor Structure Based on the Kriging Surrogate Model
title_sort reliability analysis of a turbine rotor structure based on the kriging surrogate model
topic turbine rotor
reliability analysis
kriging surrogate model
sensitivity analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1702/13/7/625
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