Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays

In this paper, a mathematical model of pneumococcal pneumonia with time delays is proposed. The stability theory of delay differential equations is used to analyze the model. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable if the control reproduction ratio R0 is less than...

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Main Authors: Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi, Joseph Y. T. Mugisha, Mark Kimathi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/3757036
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author Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi
Joseph Y. T. Mugisha
Mark Kimathi
author_facet Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi
Joseph Y. T. Mugisha
Mark Kimathi
author_sort Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, a mathematical model of pneumococcal pneumonia with time delays is proposed. The stability theory of delay differential equations is used to analyze the model. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable if the control reproduction ratio R0 is less than unity and unstable otherwise. The stability of equilibria with delays shows that the endemic equilibrium is locally stable without delays and stable if the delays are under conditions. The existence of Hopf-bifurcation is investigated and transversality conditions are proved. The model results suggest that, as the respective delays exceed some critical value past the endemic equilibrium, the system loses stability through the process of local birth or death of oscillations. Further, a decrease or an increase in the delays leads to asymptotic stability or instability of the endemic equilibrium, respectively. The analytical results are supported by numerical simulations.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2019-01-01
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series Abstract and Applied Analysis
spelling doaj-art-96712b99202a468485ad8a7eedc25c192025-02-03T06:11:06ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092019-01-01201910.1155/2019/37570363757036Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time DelaysFulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi0Joseph Y. T. Mugisha1Mark Kimathi2Department of Mathematics, Pan African University Institute of Basic Sciences, Technology and Innovation, P.O. Box 62000–00200, Nairobi, KenyaDepartment of Mathematics, Makerere University, P.O. Box 7062, Kampala, UgandaDepartment of Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, Machakos University, P.O. Box, 136–90100, Machakos, KenyaIn this paper, a mathematical model of pneumococcal pneumonia with time delays is proposed. The stability theory of delay differential equations is used to analyze the model. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable if the control reproduction ratio R0 is less than unity and unstable otherwise. The stability of equilibria with delays shows that the endemic equilibrium is locally stable without delays and stable if the delays are under conditions. The existence of Hopf-bifurcation is investigated and transversality conditions are proved. The model results suggest that, as the respective delays exceed some critical value past the endemic equilibrium, the system loses stability through the process of local birth or death of oscillations. Further, a decrease or an increase in the delays leads to asymptotic stability or instability of the endemic equilibrium, respectively. The analytical results are supported by numerical simulations.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/3757036
spellingShingle Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi
Joseph Y. T. Mugisha
Mark Kimathi
Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays
title_full Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays
title_fullStr Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays
title_full_unstemmed Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays
title_short Hopf-Bifurcation Analysis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia with Time Delays
title_sort hopf bifurcation analysis of pneumococcal pneumonia with time delays
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/3757036
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