Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release

<p>Inverse modelling of atmospheric releases of radioactivity consists of reconstructing the release source by combining radiological field measurements with atmospheric transport calculations. This is typically performed with air concentration measurements, although deposition measurements or...

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Main Authors: S. Van Leuven, P. De Meutter, J. Camps, P. Termonia, A. Delcloo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2025-08-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/25/9199/2025/acp-25-9199-2025.pdf
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author S. Van Leuven
S. Van Leuven
S. Van Leuven
P. De Meutter
P. De Meutter
J. Camps
P. Termonia
P. Termonia
A. Delcloo
A. Delcloo
author_facet S. Van Leuven
S. Van Leuven
S. Van Leuven
P. De Meutter
P. De Meutter
J. Camps
P. Termonia
P. Termonia
A. Delcloo
A. Delcloo
author_sort S. Van Leuven
collection DOAJ
description <p>Inverse modelling of atmospheric releases of radioactivity consists of reconstructing the release source by combining radiological field measurements with atmospheric transport calculations. This is typically performed with air concentration measurements, although deposition measurements or gamma dose rate measurements could also be used. In this paper, we assess the use of deposition measurements of radioactivity in this context. This is done through a case study of the undisclosed release of the radionuclide <span class="inline-formula"><sup>106</sup>Ru</span> in Eurasia during the autumn of 2017. The atmospheric transport model we utilize for this purpose is FLEXPART. Inverse modelling is performed with the inverse modelling tool FREAR (Forensic Radionuclide Event Analysis and Reconstruction), which has been modified to work with deposition measurements. The inversion consists of Bayesian and cost-function-based algorithms to reconstruct the initial source properties. Inverse modelling is applied to both real and synthetic-deposition data following the <span class="inline-formula"><sup>106</sup>Ru</span> release. We also construct synthetic air concentration data for use in inverse modelling to make a comparison with the results using deposition data. It is found that source localization is feasible with both the synthetic and real-world deposition data. Synthetic air concentration measurements lead to more precise source localization than deposition. It is demonstrated that this can be explained by the lower detection limits of air concentration measurements compared to deposition.</p>
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institution Kabale University
issn 1680-7316
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publishDate 2025-08-01
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spelling doaj-art-963dbafe98ce441d894b22c811894f722025-08-25T06:01:26ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242025-08-01259199921810.5194/acp-25-9199-2025Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric releaseS. Van Leuven0S. Van Leuven1S. Van Leuven2P. De Meutter3P. De Meutter4J. Camps5P. Termonia6P. Termonia7A. Delcloo8A. Delcloo9Belgian Nuclear Research Centre, Mol, BelgiumRoyal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, BelgiumDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Ghent University, Ghent, BelgiumBelgian Nuclear Research Centre, Mol, BelgiumRoyal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, BelgiumBelgian Nuclear Research Centre, Mol, BelgiumRoyal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, BelgiumDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Ghent University, Ghent, BelgiumRoyal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, Brussels, BelgiumDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium<p>Inverse modelling of atmospheric releases of radioactivity consists of reconstructing the release source by combining radiological field measurements with atmospheric transport calculations. This is typically performed with air concentration measurements, although deposition measurements or gamma dose rate measurements could also be used. In this paper, we assess the use of deposition measurements of radioactivity in this context. This is done through a case study of the undisclosed release of the radionuclide <span class="inline-formula"><sup>106</sup>Ru</span> in Eurasia during the autumn of 2017. The atmospheric transport model we utilize for this purpose is FLEXPART. Inverse modelling is performed with the inverse modelling tool FREAR (Forensic Radionuclide Event Analysis and Reconstruction), which has been modified to work with deposition measurements. The inversion consists of Bayesian and cost-function-based algorithms to reconstruct the initial source properties. Inverse modelling is applied to both real and synthetic-deposition data following the <span class="inline-formula"><sup>106</sup>Ru</span> release. We also construct synthetic air concentration data for use in inverse modelling to make a comparison with the results using deposition data. It is found that source localization is feasible with both the synthetic and real-world deposition data. Synthetic air concentration measurements lead to more precise source localization than deposition. It is demonstrated that this can be explained by the lower detection limits of air concentration measurements compared to deposition.</p>https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/25/9199/2025/acp-25-9199-2025.pdf
spellingShingle S. Van Leuven
S. Van Leuven
S. Van Leuven
P. De Meutter
P. De Meutter
J. Camps
P. Termonia
P. Termonia
A. Delcloo
A. Delcloo
Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
title_full Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
title_fullStr Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
title_full_unstemmed Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
title_short Source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
title_sort source reconstruction via deposition measurements of an undeclared radiological atmospheric release
url https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/25/9199/2025/acp-25-9199-2025.pdf
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