Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation

This review summarizes findings from simulation studies on quantitative traits in plant breeding and translates these insights into practical schemes. As agricultural productivity faces growing challenges, plant breeding is central to addressing these issues. Simulations use mathematical models to r...

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Main Authors: Rafael Augusto Vieira, Ana Paula Oliveira Nogueira, Roberto Fritsche-Neto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Plant Science
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2025.1495662/full
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author Rafael Augusto Vieira
Ana Paula Oliveira Nogueira
Roberto Fritsche-Neto
author_facet Rafael Augusto Vieira
Ana Paula Oliveira Nogueira
Roberto Fritsche-Neto
author_sort Rafael Augusto Vieira
collection DOAJ
description This review summarizes findings from simulation studies on quantitative traits in plant breeding and translates these insights into practical schemes. As agricultural productivity faces growing challenges, plant breeding is central to addressing these issues. Simulations use mathematical models to replicate biological conditions, bridging theory and practice by validating hypotheses early and optimizing genetic gain and resource use. While strategies can improve trait value, they reduce genetic diversity, making a combination of approaches essential. Studies emphasize the importance of aligning strategy with trait heritability and selection timing and maintaining genetic diversity while considering genotype-environment interactions to avoid biases in early selection. Using markers accelerates breeding cycles when marker placement is precise, foreground and background selection are balanced, and QTL are effectively managed. Genomic selection increases genetic gains by shortening breeding cycles and improving parent selection, especially for low heritability traits and complex genetic architectures. Regular updates of training sets are critical, regardless of genetic architecture. Bayesian methods perform well with fewer genes and in early breeding cycles, while BLUP is more robust for traits with many QTL, and RR-BLUP proves flexible across different conditions. Larger populations lead to greater gains when clear objectives and adequate germplasm are available. Accuracy declines over generations, influenced by genetic architecture and population size. For low heritability traits, multi-trait analysis improves accuracy, especially when correlated with high heritability traits. Updates including top-performing candidates, but conserving variability enhances gains and accuracy. Low-density genotyping and imputation offer cost-effective alternatives to high-density genotyping, achieving comparable results. Targeting populations optimizes genetic relationships, further improving accuracy and breeding outcomes. Evaluating genomic selection reveals a balance between short-term gains and long-term potential and rapid-cycling genomic programs excel. Diverse approaches preserve rare alleles, achieve significant gains, and maintain diversity, highlighting the trade-offs in optimizing breeding success.
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spelling doaj-art-95d0ee586bd14ae89b8ecd0200e47fe12025-02-10T06:48:55ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2025-02-011610.3389/fpls.2025.14956621495662Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulationRafael Augusto Vieira0Ana Paula Oliveira Nogueira1Roberto Fritsche-Neto2Department of Research & Development, Crop Science - Breeding, Uberlândia, BrazilInstitute of Biotechnology, Graduate Program in Genetics & Biochemistry and Graduate Program in Agronomy, Federal University of Uberlândia, Uberlândia, BrazilDepartment of Plant, Environmental and Soil Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, United StatesThis review summarizes findings from simulation studies on quantitative traits in plant breeding and translates these insights into practical schemes. As agricultural productivity faces growing challenges, plant breeding is central to addressing these issues. Simulations use mathematical models to replicate biological conditions, bridging theory and practice by validating hypotheses early and optimizing genetic gain and resource use. While strategies can improve trait value, they reduce genetic diversity, making a combination of approaches essential. Studies emphasize the importance of aligning strategy with trait heritability and selection timing and maintaining genetic diversity while considering genotype-environment interactions to avoid biases in early selection. Using markers accelerates breeding cycles when marker placement is precise, foreground and background selection are balanced, and QTL are effectively managed. Genomic selection increases genetic gains by shortening breeding cycles and improving parent selection, especially for low heritability traits and complex genetic architectures. Regular updates of training sets are critical, regardless of genetic architecture. Bayesian methods perform well with fewer genes and in early breeding cycles, while BLUP is more robust for traits with many QTL, and RR-BLUP proves flexible across different conditions. Larger populations lead to greater gains when clear objectives and adequate germplasm are available. Accuracy declines over generations, influenced by genetic architecture and population size. For low heritability traits, multi-trait analysis improves accuracy, especially when correlated with high heritability traits. Updates including top-performing candidates, but conserving variability enhances gains and accuracy. Low-density genotyping and imputation offer cost-effective alternatives to high-density genotyping, achieving comparable results. Targeting populations optimizes genetic relationships, further improving accuracy and breeding outcomes. Evaluating genomic selection reveals a balance between short-term gains and long-term potential and rapid-cycling genomic programs excel. Diverse approaches preserve rare alleles, achieve significant gains, and maintain diversity, highlighting the trade-offs in optimizing breeding success.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2025.1495662/fullgenetic gaingenetic diversitysimulationgenomic selectionprediction accuracyselection response
spellingShingle Rafael Augusto Vieira
Ana Paula Oliveira Nogueira
Roberto Fritsche-Neto
Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
Frontiers in Plant Science
genetic gain
genetic diversity
simulation
genomic selection
prediction accuracy
selection response
title Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
title_full Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
title_fullStr Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
title_full_unstemmed Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
title_short Optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
title_sort optimizing the selection of quantitative traits in plant breeding using simulation
topic genetic gain
genetic diversity
simulation
genomic selection
prediction accuracy
selection response
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2025.1495662/full
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AT robertofritscheneto optimizingtheselectionofquantitativetraitsinplantbreedingusingsimulation