Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport

With the advancement of modern information technology, the demand for shared trailers in drop-and-pull transport has become a research focus. In this study, a method for estimating regional shared trailer demand is proposed. This method comprehensively considers the regional drop-and-pull level and...

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Main Authors: Mei Feng, Qianwei Peng, Zhixue Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Alexandria Engineering Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016824015059
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author Mei Feng
Qianwei Peng
Zhixue Zhao
author_facet Mei Feng
Qianwei Peng
Zhixue Zhao
author_sort Mei Feng
collection DOAJ
description With the advancement of modern information technology, the demand for shared trailers in drop-and-pull transport has become a research focus. In this study, a method for estimating regional shared trailer demand is proposed. This method comprehensively considers the regional drop-and-pull level and the total tonnage of operational freight vehicles to calculate the total tonnage of shared trailers in the region, thus estimating the shared trailer demand. This provides a reference for the allocation of shared trailers in regional drop-and-pull transport. The regional drop-and-pull level is measured by the ratio of drop-and-pull freight volume to total freight volume. Three different machine learning models, namely linear regression, random forest, and XGBoost, were used to predict the freight volume. The shared trailer demand was then calculated based on the freight volume. The comparison of prediction results showed that the XGBoost model had the best predictive performance. Finally, the effectiveness of the shared trailer demand estimation method was verified through a case study.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1110-0168
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Alexandria Engineering Journal
spelling doaj-art-94c64c91b63b4b05b49cc972203235a32025-02-07T04:47:09ZengElsevierAlexandria Engineering Journal1110-01682025-02-01113242248Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transportMei Feng0Qianwei Peng1Zhixue Zhao2Hunan Modern Logistics College, Changsha 410131, ChinaHunan Modern Logistics College, Changsha 410131, China; Corresponding author.Hunan University of Technology and Business, Changsha 410205, ChinaWith the advancement of modern information technology, the demand for shared trailers in drop-and-pull transport has become a research focus. In this study, a method for estimating regional shared trailer demand is proposed. This method comprehensively considers the regional drop-and-pull level and the total tonnage of operational freight vehicles to calculate the total tonnage of shared trailers in the region, thus estimating the shared trailer demand. This provides a reference for the allocation of shared trailers in regional drop-and-pull transport. The regional drop-and-pull level is measured by the ratio of drop-and-pull freight volume to total freight volume. Three different machine learning models, namely linear regression, random forest, and XGBoost, were used to predict the freight volume. The shared trailer demand was then calculated based on the freight volume. The comparison of prediction results showed that the XGBoost model had the best predictive performance. Finally, the effectiveness of the shared trailer demand estimation method was verified through a case study.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016824015059Drop-and-pull transportShared trailerDemand estimationFreight volume predictionMachine learning
spellingShingle Mei Feng
Qianwei Peng
Zhixue Zhao
Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Drop-and-pull transport
Shared trailer
Demand estimation
Freight volume prediction
Machine learning
title Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport
title_full Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport
title_fullStr Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport
title_full_unstemmed Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport
title_short Estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop-and-pull transport
title_sort estimating regional shared trailer demand in drop and pull transport
topic Drop-and-pull transport
Shared trailer
Demand estimation
Freight volume prediction
Machine learning
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016824015059
work_keys_str_mv AT meifeng estimatingregionalsharedtrailerdemandindropandpulltransport
AT qianweipeng estimatingregionalsharedtrailerdemandindropandpulltransport
AT zhixuezhao estimatingregionalsharedtrailerdemandindropandpulltransport