A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.

Designing patient-specific follow-up strategies is key to personalized cancer care. Tools to assist doctors in treatment decisions and scheduling follow-ups based on patient preferences and medical data would be highly beneficial. These tools should incorporate realistic models of disease progressio...

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Main Authors: Benoîte de Saporta, Aymar Thierry d'Argenlieu, Régis Sabbadin, Alice Cleynen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315661
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author Benoîte de Saporta
Aymar Thierry d'Argenlieu
Régis Sabbadin
Alice Cleynen
author_facet Benoîte de Saporta
Aymar Thierry d'Argenlieu
Régis Sabbadin
Alice Cleynen
author_sort Benoîte de Saporta
collection DOAJ
description Designing patient-specific follow-up strategies is key to personalized cancer care. Tools to assist doctors in treatment decisions and scheduling follow-ups based on patient preferences and medical data would be highly beneficial. These tools should incorporate realistic models of disease progression under treatment, multi-objective optimization of treatment strategies, and efficient algorithms to personalize follow-ups by considering patient history. We propose modeling cancer evolution using a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process, where patients alternate between remission and relapse phases, and control the model via long-term cost function optimization. This considers treatment side effects, visit burden, and quality of life, using noisy blood marker measurements for feedback. Instead of discretizing the problem with a discrete Markov Decision Process, we apply the Partially-Observed Monte-Carlo Planning algorithm to solve the continuous-time, continuous-state problem, leveraging the near-deterministic nature of cancer progression. Our approach, tested on multiple myeloma patient data, outperforms exact solutions of the discrete model and allows greater flexibility in cost function modeling, enabling patient-specific follow-ups. This method can also be adapted to other diseases.
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language English
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publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
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spelling doaj-art-94a296a1d9c44cc6b304edee815627962025-01-08T05:32:59ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-011912e031566110.1371/journal.pone.0315661A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.Benoîte de SaportaAymar Thierry d'ArgenlieuRégis SabbadinAlice CleynenDesigning patient-specific follow-up strategies is key to personalized cancer care. Tools to assist doctors in treatment decisions and scheduling follow-ups based on patient preferences and medical data would be highly beneficial. These tools should incorporate realistic models of disease progression under treatment, multi-objective optimization of treatment strategies, and efficient algorithms to personalize follow-ups by considering patient history. We propose modeling cancer evolution using a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process, where patients alternate between remission and relapse phases, and control the model via long-term cost function optimization. This considers treatment side effects, visit burden, and quality of life, using noisy blood marker measurements for feedback. Instead of discretizing the problem with a discrete Markov Decision Process, we apply the Partially-Observed Monte-Carlo Planning algorithm to solve the continuous-time, continuous-state problem, leveraging the near-deterministic nature of cancer progression. Our approach, tested on multiple myeloma patient data, outperforms exact solutions of the discrete model and allows greater flexibility in cost function modeling, enabling patient-specific follow-ups. This method can also be adapted to other diseases.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315661
spellingShingle Benoîte de Saporta
Aymar Thierry d'Argenlieu
Régis Sabbadin
Alice Cleynen
A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.
PLoS ONE
title A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.
title_full A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.
title_fullStr A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.
title_full_unstemmed A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.
title_short A Monte-Carlo planning strategy for medical follow-up optimization: Illustration on multiple myeloma data.
title_sort monte carlo planning strategy for medical follow up optimization illustration on multiple myeloma data
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315661
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