Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia
The article analyzes and quantifies greenhouse gas emissions and absorption in the territories of the forest fund in different regions of Russia. Scenarios have been developed to predict the net absorption of greenhouse gases by forest managers until 2050, and a long-term forecast of the balance of...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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EDP Sciences
2024-01-01
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| Series: | BIO Web of Conferences |
| Online Access: | https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2024/64/bioconf_ForestryForum2024_06005.pdf |
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| author | Morkovina Svetlana Kolesnichenko Elena Yakovenko Nataliya Sheshnitsan Sergey Vodolazhsky Alexey Pryadilina Natalia Manmareva Valeria |
| author_facet | Morkovina Svetlana Kolesnichenko Elena Yakovenko Nataliya Sheshnitsan Sergey Vodolazhsky Alexey Pryadilina Natalia Manmareva Valeria |
| author_sort | Morkovina Svetlana |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article analyzes and quantifies greenhouse gas emissions and absorption in the territories of the forest fund in different regions of Russia. Scenarios have been developed to predict the net absorption of greenhouse gases by forest managers until 2050, and a long-term forecast of the balance of emissions and absorption of these gases has been presented, taking into account changes in strategic forest planning documents. According to forecasts, greenhouse gas emissions associated with the implementation of sanitary and wellness measures will amount to at least 2.3 million by 2028. tons of CO2 equivalent annually, maintaining the level of 2018. More than 60% of these emissions will occur in the Siberian and Central Federal Districts. The potential for reducing emissions in this case is limited, because the actual area of implementation of activities has significantly decreased from 2012 to 2018. The implementation of the target scenario only through the country’s forestry sector will not allow achieving the target volume of net forest absorption set by the Strategy for 2050. A deficit of 279.7 million tons of CO2 equivalent per year between the target scenario and the planned net absorption volume (at least 1,158 million tons). t CO2-eq. per year) can be overcome through additional measures, including climate projects in the field of forestry and afforestation on lands of other categories. In order to maintain carbon runoff in Russian forests, additional protection and restoration measures are needed, which go beyond the existing plans of the subjects. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-936ca507b98d4c9fb15586e845f4f385 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2117-4458 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BIO Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj-art-936ca507b98d4c9fb15586e845f4f3852025-08-20T02:19:37ZengEDP SciencesBIO Web of Conferences2117-44582024-01-011450600510.1051/bioconf/202414506005bioconf_ForestryForum2024_06005Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in RussiaMorkovina Svetlana0Kolesnichenko Elena1Yakovenko Nataliya2Sheshnitsan Sergey3Vodolazhsky Alexey4Pryadilina Natalia5Manmareva Valeria6Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G F MorozovTambov State University named after G.R. DerzhavinVoronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G F MorozovVoronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G F MorozovVoronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G F MorozovUral State Forestry Technical UniversityVoronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G F MorozovThe article analyzes and quantifies greenhouse gas emissions and absorption in the territories of the forest fund in different regions of Russia. Scenarios have been developed to predict the net absorption of greenhouse gases by forest managers until 2050, and a long-term forecast of the balance of emissions and absorption of these gases has been presented, taking into account changes in strategic forest planning documents. According to forecasts, greenhouse gas emissions associated with the implementation of sanitary and wellness measures will amount to at least 2.3 million by 2028. tons of CO2 equivalent annually, maintaining the level of 2018. More than 60% of these emissions will occur in the Siberian and Central Federal Districts. The potential for reducing emissions in this case is limited, because the actual area of implementation of activities has significantly decreased from 2012 to 2018. The implementation of the target scenario only through the country’s forestry sector will not allow achieving the target volume of net forest absorption set by the Strategy for 2050. A deficit of 279.7 million tons of CO2 equivalent per year between the target scenario and the planned net absorption volume (at least 1,158 million tons). t CO2-eq. per year) can be overcome through additional measures, including climate projects in the field of forestry and afforestation on lands of other categories. In order to maintain carbon runoff in Russian forests, additional protection and restoration measures are needed, which go beyond the existing plans of the subjects.https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2024/64/bioconf_ForestryForum2024_06005.pdf |
| spellingShingle | Morkovina Svetlana Kolesnichenko Elena Yakovenko Nataliya Sheshnitsan Sergey Vodolazhsky Alexey Pryadilina Natalia Manmareva Valeria Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia BIO Web of Conferences |
| title | Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia |
| title_full | Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia |
| title_fullStr | Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia |
| title_short | Forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in Russia |
| title_sort | forecast of greenhouse gas emissions and absorption of forestry activities in russia |
| url | https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2024/64/bioconf_ForestryForum2024_06005.pdf |
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