Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundHeart failure (HF) is a global health challenge with high morbidity and mortality. The serum creatinine/albumin ratio (CAR), a marker of renal dysfunction and malnutrition, has shown prognostic value in other critical illnesses but remains underexplored in HF patients.MethodsThis retrospec...

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Main Authors: Hao Luo, Xinqi Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1586327/full
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author Hao Luo
Xinqi Chen
author_facet Hao Luo
Xinqi Chen
author_sort Hao Luo
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundHeart failure (HF) is a global health challenge with high morbidity and mortality. The serum creatinine/albumin ratio (CAR), a marker of renal dysfunction and malnutrition, has shown prognostic value in other critical illnesses but remains underexplored in HF patients.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included 1,893 HF patients hospitalized at the Fourth People's Hospital of Zigong, China, between December 2016 and June 2019. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between CAR and 28-day mortality. Dose-response relationship was assessed using restricted cubic spline analysis, Kaplan–Meier curves illustrated survival differences, and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis evaluated CAR's predictive performance.ResultsPatients with CAR ≥ 3.5 were older, had worse cardiac function, and had more comorbidities than those with CAR < 3.5.A linear relationship was observed between CAR and 28-day mortality. Each 1-unit increase in CAR was associated with a 14% higher mortality risk (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.07–1.21, p < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that CAR had an AUC of 77.1%, which was slightly higher than creatinine alone (76.2%) and markedly better than BNP (68.0%) and albumin alone (64.9%).ConclusionIn patients with HF, CAR may serve as an independent predictor of 28-day mortality. Its ability to simultaneously reflect renal dysfunction, malnutrition, and inflammation highlights its potential as a valuable biomarker for risk stratification. Further multicenter, prospective studies are needed to confirm its clinical utility and investigate its role alongside other biomarkers in guiding personalized treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes.
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spelling doaj-art-935edf21d5a94792ade15e0728ee43cc2025-08-20T02:40:17ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine2297-055X2025-07-011210.3389/fcvm.2025.15863271586327Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort studyHao Luo0Xinqi Chen1Department of Cardiology, Xiangan Hospital Affiliated to Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, ChinaDepartment of Gastroenterology, First Hospital of Quanzhou Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, Fujian, ChinaBackgroundHeart failure (HF) is a global health challenge with high morbidity and mortality. The serum creatinine/albumin ratio (CAR), a marker of renal dysfunction and malnutrition, has shown prognostic value in other critical illnesses but remains underexplored in HF patients.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included 1,893 HF patients hospitalized at the Fourth People's Hospital of Zigong, China, between December 2016 and June 2019. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between CAR and 28-day mortality. Dose-response relationship was assessed using restricted cubic spline analysis, Kaplan–Meier curves illustrated survival differences, and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis evaluated CAR's predictive performance.ResultsPatients with CAR ≥ 3.5 were older, had worse cardiac function, and had more comorbidities than those with CAR < 3.5.A linear relationship was observed between CAR and 28-day mortality. Each 1-unit increase in CAR was associated with a 14% higher mortality risk (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.07–1.21, p < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that CAR had an AUC of 77.1%, which was slightly higher than creatinine alone (76.2%) and markedly better than BNP (68.0%) and albumin alone (64.9%).ConclusionIn patients with HF, CAR may serve as an independent predictor of 28-day mortality. Its ability to simultaneously reflect renal dysfunction, malnutrition, and inflammation highlights its potential as a valuable biomarker for risk stratification. Further multicenter, prospective studies are needed to confirm its clinical utility and investigate its role alongside other biomarkers in guiding personalized treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1586327/fullheart failurecreatinine/albumin ratiomortalityretrospective cohort studybiomarker
spellingShingle Hao Luo
Xinqi Chen
Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study
Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
heart failure
creatinine/albumin ratio
mortality
retrospective cohort study
biomarker
title Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study
title_full Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study
title_fullStr Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study
title_short Prognostic value of the serum creatinine/albumin ratio for 28-day mortality in heart failure: a retrospective cohort study
title_sort prognostic value of the serum creatinine albumin ratio for 28 day mortality in heart failure a retrospective cohort study
topic heart failure
creatinine/albumin ratio
mortality
retrospective cohort study
biomarker
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1586327/full
work_keys_str_mv AT haoluo prognosticvalueoftheserumcreatininealbuminratiofor28daymortalityinheartfailurearetrospectivecohortstudy
AT xinqichen prognosticvalueoftheserumcreatininealbuminratiofor28daymortalityinheartfailurearetrospectivecohortstudy