Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities

ABSTRACT Carrying capacity models for wintering waterfowl require estimates of energy availability based on food densities and true metabolizable energy (TME) of various food types. However, because TME values vary widely between studies, estimates of carrying capacity may be less precise than previ...

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Main Authors: Mark C. Livolsi, Kevin M. Ringelman, John M. Coluccy, Matthew T. Dibona, Christopher K. Williams
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-12-01
Series:Wildlife Society Bulletin
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.593
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author Mark C. Livolsi
Kevin M. Ringelman
John M. Coluccy
Matthew T. Dibona
Christopher K. Williams
author_facet Mark C. Livolsi
Kevin M. Ringelman
John M. Coluccy
Matthew T. Dibona
Christopher K. Williams
author_sort Mark C. Livolsi
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Carrying capacity models for wintering waterfowl require estimates of energy availability based on food densities and true metabolizable energy (TME) of various food types. However, because TME values vary widely between studies, estimates of carrying capacity may be less precise than previously acknowledged. We explored how variation in TME values affected estimates of landscape‐level energy availability for American black ducks (Anas rubripes), using 4 distinct approaches for assigning TME values to waterfowl food items collected over the winter period in 2011–2012 and 2012–2013: a “best practices” approach, which typically used average TMEs across species, a minimum and maximum reported values approaches, and a coarse‐scale “order‐average” approach. We found that all 4 approaches yielded significantly different estimates of energy availability across all saltmarsh habitat types. Additionally, we evaluated the potential management implications of variation in TME values by comparing energy supply on 1,223 ha of marsh in Prime Hook National Wildlife Refuge (DE, USA) using all 4 approaches for assigning TME values. We estimated carrying capacity and modeled depletion of energy on this refuge over a hypothetical wintering period. We found that even relatively small variations in TME values produced highly variable estimates of carrying capacity for the refuge. Thus, we recommend that researchers consider the inherent uncertainty in TME values of waterfowl foods, and explicitly include this variation in carrying capacity models. © 2015 The Wildlife Society.
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spelling doaj-art-9307d339dbb54b9ca7fd85f228e4da722025-08-20T02:36:23ZengWileyWildlife Society Bulletin2328-55402015-12-0139482783310.1002/wsb.593Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacitiesMark C. Livolsi0Kevin M. Ringelman1John M. Coluccy2Matthew T. Dibona3Christopher K. Williams4Department of Entomology and Wildlife EcologyUniversity of Delaware250 Townsend Hall, Newark DE 19716USADepartment of Renewable Natural ResourcesLouisiana State University Agricultural Center310 Renewable Natural Resources Building, Baton RougeLA 70803USADucks Unlimited Incorporated1220 Eisenhower Place, Ann ArborMI 48108USADelaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control Division of Fish & WildlifeDoverDE 19901USADepartment of Entomology and Wildlife EcologyUniversity of Delaware250 Townsend Hall, Newark DE 19716USAABSTRACT Carrying capacity models for wintering waterfowl require estimates of energy availability based on food densities and true metabolizable energy (TME) of various food types. However, because TME values vary widely between studies, estimates of carrying capacity may be less precise than previously acknowledged. We explored how variation in TME values affected estimates of landscape‐level energy availability for American black ducks (Anas rubripes), using 4 distinct approaches for assigning TME values to waterfowl food items collected over the winter period in 2011–2012 and 2012–2013: a “best practices” approach, which typically used average TMEs across species, a minimum and maximum reported values approaches, and a coarse‐scale “order‐average” approach. We found that all 4 approaches yielded significantly different estimates of energy availability across all saltmarsh habitat types. Additionally, we evaluated the potential management implications of variation in TME values by comparing energy supply on 1,223 ha of marsh in Prime Hook National Wildlife Refuge (DE, USA) using all 4 approaches for assigning TME values. We estimated carrying capacity and modeled depletion of energy on this refuge over a hypothetical wintering period. We found that even relatively small variations in TME values produced highly variable estimates of carrying capacity for the refuge. Thus, we recommend that researchers consider the inherent uncertainty in TME values of waterfowl foods, and explicitly include this variation in carrying capacity models. © 2015 The Wildlife Society.https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.593bioenergeticscore samplefood availabilityinvertebratemarshmoist‐soil seed
spellingShingle Mark C. Livolsi
Kevin M. Ringelman
John M. Coluccy
Matthew T. Dibona
Christopher K. Williams
Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
Wildlife Society Bulletin
bioenergetics
core sample
food availability
invertebrate
marsh
moist‐soil seed
title Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
title_full Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
title_fullStr Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
title_full_unstemmed Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
title_short Implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
title_sort implications of uncertainty in true metabolizable energy estimates for estimating wintering waterfowl carrying capacities
topic bioenergetics
core sample
food availability
invertebrate
marsh
moist‐soil seed
url https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.593
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AT kevinmringelman implicationsofuncertaintyintruemetabolizableenergyestimatesforestimatingwinteringwaterfowlcarryingcapacities
AT johnmcoluccy implicationsofuncertaintyintruemetabolizableenergyestimatesforestimatingwinteringwaterfowlcarryingcapacities
AT matthewtdibona implicationsofuncertaintyintruemetabolizableenergyestimatesforestimatingwinteringwaterfowlcarryingcapacities
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