Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections

Abstract Wind renewable energy (WRE) is an essential component of the global sustainable energy portfolio. Recently, there has been increasing discussion on the potential supplementation of this conventional mitigation portfolio with Solar Radiation Modification (SRM). However, the impact of SRM on...

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Main Authors: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-10-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004575
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author Susanne Baur
Benjamin M. Sanderson
Roland Séférian
Laurent Terray
author_facet Susanne Baur
Benjamin M. Sanderson
Roland Séférian
Laurent Terray
author_sort Susanne Baur
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Wind renewable energy (WRE) is an essential component of the global sustainable energy portfolio. Recently, there has been increasing discussion on the potential supplementation of this conventional mitigation portfolio with Solar Radiation Modification (SRM). However, the impact of SRM on conventional mitigation measures has received limited attention to date. In this study, we explore one part of this impact, the potential effect of one type of SRM, Stratospheric Aerosol Injections (SAI), on WRE. Using hourly output from the Earth System Model CNRM‐ESM2‐1, we compare WRE potential under a medium emission scenario (SSP245) and a high emission scenario (SSP585) with an SRM scenario that has SSP585 baseline conditions and uses SAI to offset warming to approximately SSP245 global warming levels. Our results suggest that SAI may affect surface wind resources by modifying large‐scale circulation patterns, such as a significant poleward jet‐shift in the Southern Hemisphere. The modeled total global WRE potential is negligibly reduced under SAI compared to the SSP‐scenarios. However, regional trends are highly variable, with large increases and decreases in WRE potential frequently reaching 12% across the globe with SAI. This study highlights potential downstream effects of SRM on climatic elements, such as wind patterns, and offers perspectives on its implications for our mitigation efforts.
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spelling doaj-art-92c217b89de349feb18152e3bdc2cb4e2025-08-20T02:12:11ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772024-10-011210n/an/a10.1029/2024EF004575Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol InjectionsSusanne Baur0Benjamin M. Sanderson1Roland Séférian2Laurent Terray3CECI Université de Toulouse CERFACS CNRS Toulouse FranceCentre for International Climate and Environmental Research (CICERO) Oslo NorwayCNRM Université de Toulouse Météo‐France/CNRS Toulouse FranceCECI Université de Toulouse CERFACS CNRS Toulouse FranceAbstract Wind renewable energy (WRE) is an essential component of the global sustainable energy portfolio. Recently, there has been increasing discussion on the potential supplementation of this conventional mitigation portfolio with Solar Radiation Modification (SRM). However, the impact of SRM on conventional mitigation measures has received limited attention to date. In this study, we explore one part of this impact, the potential effect of one type of SRM, Stratospheric Aerosol Injections (SAI), on WRE. Using hourly output from the Earth System Model CNRM‐ESM2‐1, we compare WRE potential under a medium emission scenario (SSP245) and a high emission scenario (SSP585) with an SRM scenario that has SSP585 baseline conditions and uses SAI to offset warming to approximately SSP245 global warming levels. Our results suggest that SAI may affect surface wind resources by modifying large‐scale circulation patterns, such as a significant poleward jet‐shift in the Southern Hemisphere. The modeled total global WRE potential is negligibly reduced under SAI compared to the SSP‐scenarios. However, regional trends are highly variable, with large increases and decreases in WRE potential frequently reaching 12% across the globe with SAI. This study highlights potential downstream effects of SRM on climatic elements, such as wind patterns, and offers perspectives on its implications for our mitigation efforts.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004575solar radiation modificationsolar geoengineeringwind energyrenewable wind energystratospheric aerosol injectionsolar radiation management
spellingShingle Susanne Baur
Benjamin M. Sanderson
Roland Séférian
Laurent Terray
Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
Earth's Future
solar radiation modification
solar geoengineering
wind energy
renewable wind energy
stratospheric aerosol injection
solar radiation management
title Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
title_full Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
title_fullStr Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
title_full_unstemmed Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
title_short Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
title_sort change in wind renewable energy potential under stratospheric aerosol injections
topic solar radiation modification
solar geoengineering
wind energy
renewable wind energy
stratospheric aerosol injection
solar radiation management
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004575
work_keys_str_mv AT susannebaur changeinwindrenewableenergypotentialunderstratosphericaerosolinjections
AT benjaminmsanderson changeinwindrenewableenergypotentialunderstratosphericaerosolinjections
AT rolandseferian changeinwindrenewableenergypotentialunderstratosphericaerosolinjections
AT laurentterray changeinwindrenewableenergypotentialunderstratosphericaerosolinjections