Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria

Abstract The large‐scale implementation of geological carbon sequestration has raised concerns about potential fault activation and induced seismicity, which could compromise storage integrity and pose seismic risks. We theoretically compared two failure criteria, Mohr‐Coulomb (MC) and Modified Cam‐...

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Main Authors: M. Cao, Y. Guglielmi, J. Rutqvist, A. Cihan, S. Glubokovskikh, P. Jordan, M. Reagan, J. Birkholzer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-05-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115250
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author M. Cao
Y. Guglielmi
J. Rutqvist
A. Cihan
S. Glubokovskikh
P. Jordan
M. Reagan
J. Birkholzer
author_facet M. Cao
Y. Guglielmi
J. Rutqvist
A. Cihan
S. Glubokovskikh
P. Jordan
M. Reagan
J. Birkholzer
author_sort M. Cao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The large‐scale implementation of geological carbon sequestration has raised concerns about potential fault activation and induced seismicity, which could compromise storage integrity and pose seismic risks. We theoretically compared two failure criteria, Mohr‐Coulomb (MC) and Modified Cam‐Clay criteria (MCC), to assess fault rupture during CO2 storage. Both criteria characterize fault behavior in a specific stress regime but differ in reducing the complexity of fault rupture to a few key mechanisms. Using a coupled hydromechanical model, we demonstrate that the choice of a failure criterion and the physics of fault weakening associated with these criteria strongly condition fault response to a given fluid injection. MC mainly relates rupture to friction, while MCC relates rupture to fault poro‐plasticity. Our findings highlight that the selection of a failure criterion, being inherently subjective, can significantly alter the predicted fault behavior during CO2 storage, thereby impacting the reliability of geomechanical risk assessments.
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-9243b6bb879e4b768e3d6fa0c26d0bbb2025-08-20T02:30:59ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072025-05-015210n/an/a10.1029/2025GL115250Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure CriteriaM. Cao0Y. Guglielmi1J. Rutqvist2A. Cihan3S. Glubokovskikh4P. Jordan5M. Reagan6J. Birkholzer7Energy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAEnergy Geosciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley CA USAAbstract The large‐scale implementation of geological carbon sequestration has raised concerns about potential fault activation and induced seismicity, which could compromise storage integrity and pose seismic risks. We theoretically compared two failure criteria, Mohr‐Coulomb (MC) and Modified Cam‐Clay criteria (MCC), to assess fault rupture during CO2 storage. Both criteria characterize fault behavior in a specific stress regime but differ in reducing the complexity of fault rupture to a few key mechanisms. Using a coupled hydromechanical model, we demonstrate that the choice of a failure criterion and the physics of fault weakening associated with these criteria strongly condition fault response to a given fluid injection. MC mainly relates rupture to friction, while MCC relates rupture to fault poro‐plasticity. Our findings highlight that the selection of a failure criterion, being inherently subjective, can significantly alter the predicted fault behavior during CO2 storage, thereby impacting the reliability of geomechanical risk assessments.https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115250geologic CO2 sequestrationfault ruptureCam‐Clay failure criteriaMohr‐Coulomb failure criteria
spellingShingle M. Cao
Y. Guglielmi
J. Rutqvist
A. Cihan
S. Glubokovskikh
P. Jordan
M. Reagan
J. Birkholzer
Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria
Geophysical Research Letters
geologic CO2 sequestration
fault rupture
Cam‐Clay failure criteria
Mohr‐Coulomb failure criteria
title Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria
title_full Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria
title_fullStr Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria
title_full_unstemmed Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria
title_short Hydromechanical Modeling of Fault Rupture in Geologic CO2 Sequestration: A Comparison of Two Failure Criteria
title_sort hydromechanical modeling of fault rupture in geologic co2 sequestration a comparison of two failure criteria
topic geologic CO2 sequestration
fault rupture
Cam‐Clay failure criteria
Mohr‐Coulomb failure criteria
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115250
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