A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory

Landslides are among the most frequent and destructive geological disasters, causing significant loss of life and property. Research on landslide prediction is crucial for minimizing disaster-related losses, ensuring public safety, and developing reliable early warning systems and preparedness strat...

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Main Authors: Ke Ma, He Weng, Yumin Chen, Saeed Sarajpoor, Yang Shen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10858144/
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author Ke Ma
He Weng
Yumin Chen
Saeed Sarajpoor
Yang Shen
author_facet Ke Ma
He Weng
Yumin Chen
Saeed Sarajpoor
Yang Shen
author_sort Ke Ma
collection DOAJ
description Landslides are among the most frequent and destructive geological disasters, causing significant loss of life and property. Research on landslide prediction is crucial for minimizing disaster-related losses, ensuring public safety, and developing reliable early warning systems and preparedness strategies. Existing prediction technologies are broadly classified into mechanical modeling methods and mathematical modeling methods. Compared to mechanical modeling, mathematical modeling relies on data analysis, enabling the use of existing monitoring data without requiring detailed geological information. Among these, the grey model stands out for its high accuracy with minimal information requirements, as well as its simplicity and ease of implementation. Based on these advantages, grey model-based landslide prediction has emerged as a key research focus. This paper proposes a dynamic landslide warning model that integrates the concept of risk with grey system theory, using a small amount of real-time monitoring data. Experimental results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in accurately predicting landslides and providing timely warnings for unstable slopes.
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-91ae09dd92bf4b52bc96cab9d8a0d2ba2025-02-07T00:01:23ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113224072241910.1109/ACCESS.2025.353688810858144A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System TheoryKe Ma0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7086-3333He Weng1Yumin Chen2Saeed Sarajpoor3Yang Shen4School of Civil Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ministry of Education for Geomechanics and Embankment Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaInstitute for Smart City of Chongqing University in Liyang, Chongqing University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ministry of Education for Geomechanics and Embankment Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, ChinaLandslides are among the most frequent and destructive geological disasters, causing significant loss of life and property. Research on landslide prediction is crucial for minimizing disaster-related losses, ensuring public safety, and developing reliable early warning systems and preparedness strategies. Existing prediction technologies are broadly classified into mechanical modeling methods and mathematical modeling methods. Compared to mechanical modeling, mathematical modeling relies on data analysis, enabling the use of existing monitoring data without requiring detailed geological information. Among these, the grey model stands out for its high accuracy with minimal information requirements, as well as its simplicity and ease of implementation. Based on these advantages, grey model-based landslide prediction has emerged as a key research focus. This paper proposes a dynamic landslide warning model that integrates the concept of risk with grey system theory, using a small amount of real-time monitoring data. Experimental results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in accurately predicting landslides and providing timely warnings for unstable slopes.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10858144/Grey modelsliding windowdynamic predictionlandslide warning model
spellingShingle Ke Ma
He Weng
Yumin Chen
Saeed Sarajpoor
Yang Shen
A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory
IEEE Access
Grey model
sliding window
dynamic prediction
landslide warning model
title A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory
title_full A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory
title_fullStr A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory
title_full_unstemmed A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory
title_short A Dynamic Landslide Warning Model Based on Grey System Theory
title_sort dynamic landslide warning model based on grey system theory
topic Grey model
sliding window
dynamic prediction
landslide warning model
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10858144/
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