A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation

In recent years, solar energy has attracted a great deal of attentions from scientific researchers because it is a clean and renewable form of energy. To make good use of solar energy, an effective way to forecast solar radiation is essential to guarantee the reliability of grid-connected photovolta...

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Main Authors: He Jiang, Yao Dong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/8135193
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author He Jiang
Yao Dong
author_facet He Jiang
Yao Dong
author_sort He Jiang
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, solar energy has attracted a great deal of attentions from scientific researchers because it is a clean and renewable form of energy. To make good use of solar energy, an effective way to forecast solar radiation is essential to guarantee the reliability of grid-connected photovoltaic installations. Although an artificial neural network (ANN) is of great importance, irrelevant variables are utilized which results in complex model and intractable computation cost. To remove these irrelevant variables, the combination of variable selection methods and ANN are applied. However, how to select the regularization parameters in these techniques is challenging. This paper successfully investigates a square root elastic net- (SREN-) based approach to tackle this challenge and selects all the important variables. An Elman neural network (ENN) is constructed with the important variables selected by SREN as inputs. Based on meteorological data, SRENENN has been developed for 1-year period in Xinjiang area of China. The present model delivers superior relationship between the estimated and measure values.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2018-01-01
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record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-91ada6a19c8c4a21b2a95fbdaa5608ea2025-08-20T03:37:06ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262018-01-01201810.1155/2018/81351938135193A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar RadiationHe Jiang0Yao Dong1School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, ChinaSchool of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, ChinaIn recent years, solar energy has attracted a great deal of attentions from scientific researchers because it is a clean and renewable form of energy. To make good use of solar energy, an effective way to forecast solar radiation is essential to guarantee the reliability of grid-connected photovoltaic installations. Although an artificial neural network (ANN) is of great importance, irrelevant variables are utilized which results in complex model and intractable computation cost. To remove these irrelevant variables, the combination of variable selection methods and ANN are applied. However, how to select the regularization parameters in these techniques is challenging. This paper successfully investigates a square root elastic net- (SREN-) based approach to tackle this challenge and selects all the important variables. An Elman neural network (ENN) is constructed with the important variables selected by SREN as inputs. Based on meteorological data, SRENENN has been developed for 1-year period in Xinjiang area of China. The present model delivers superior relationship between the estimated and measure values.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/8135193
spellingShingle He Jiang
Yao Dong
A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation
Complexity
title A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation
title_full A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation
title_fullStr A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation
title_short A Novel Model Based on Square Root Elastic Net and Artificial Neural Network for Forecasting Global Solar Radiation
title_sort novel model based on square root elastic net and artificial neural network for forecasting global solar radiation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/8135193
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